BR100 3,662 Increased By ▲ 9 (0.26%)
BR30 18,722 Increased By ▲ 107 (0.57%)
KSE100 35,618 Increased By ▲ 245 (0.69%)
KSE30 15,387 Increased By ▲ 106 (0.69%)
CASES 237,489 2980
DEATHS 4,922 83
Sindh 97,626 Cases Today
Punjab 83,599 Cases Today
Balochistan 10,919 Cases Today
Islamabad 13,650 Cases Today
KP 28,681 Cases Today

Dr Hafiz A Pasha


Outlook for inflation

ARTICLE: The year 2019-20 saw a return for some months to double-digit inflation for the first time after 2011-12....

Published Jul 07, 2020 02:54am

IMF budgetary framework

ARTICLE: The IMF has developed a budgetary framework from 2020-21 to 2024-25 for Pakistan as part of the report for...

Published Jun 02, 2020 03:50am

The GDP growth rate

The Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) has revealed the final estimate of the GDP growth rate for 2018-19 and the preliminary estimate of the GDP growth rate for 2019-20. This is contrary to the past practice whereby GDP estimates were included in the Pa

Published May 27, 2020 12:06am

The forthcoming budget

The Federal and Provincial Budgets for 2020-21 are expected to be announced in the month of June, starting with the presentation of the Federal Budget on the 5th of June. These budgets come at a time when the economy has been badly hit by the COVID-19 and

Published May 19, 2020 12:02am

Emerging trends

The key macroeconomic variables of the national economy are beginning to show sharply divergent trends from those observed earlier since June 2019. This includes developments in the real economy, monetary sector, inflation, public finances and the balance

Published May 12, 2020 12:06am

Social and economic trends

The Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) has recently released the key findings from two major surveys - the Pakistan Social and Living Standards Measurement Survey (PSLSMS) and the Household Integrated Economic Survey (HIES) - of 2018-19. These efforts at

Published Apr 28, 2020 12:54am

Targeting the poor and vulnerable

The Coronavirus is going to have an adverse impact on the living standard of millions of families in Pakistan. Households which are already poor will suffer further deprivation. As the GDP growth rate plummets and actually falls in absolute magnitude, the

Published Apr 07, 2020 12:00am

Analysis of monetary policy statement

The much-awaited Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) of the SBP was released a few days ago. It contains a review of the state of the economy and an assessment of the short-run prospects, based on which the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has decided on the p

Published Mar 24, 2020 12:00am

Budgetary outcome in 2019-20

The Mid-term Budget Review of 2019-20 was presented recently to the National Assembly. The outcome in the first six months reveals success in limiting the primary deficit and achieving the target agreed with the IMF. In fact, a primary surplus has been ac

Published Mar 17, 2020 12:00am

Dip in the rate of inflation

There has been a noticeable drop in the rate of inflation on a year-to-year basis. The national Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 14.6 percent in January 2020. It has fallen by 2.2 percentage points to 12.4 percent in February 2020. However, it is p

Published Mar 10, 2020 12:00am

FBR revenue shortfall

The shortfall in FBR revenues is likely to reach a record level this year. The magnitude of this shortfall will be the prime determinant of the extent to which the primary deficit in the budget diverges from the target level agreed with the IMF for 2019-2

Published Mar 03, 2020 12:00am

State of public finances

The previous financial year closed with the largest ever budget deficit. The magnitude was Rs 3,445 billion, equivalent to 8.9 percent of the GDP. The increase in relation to 2017-18 was 2.3 percent of the GDP. This severe deterioration in the state of pu

Published Feb 25, 2020 12:00am

IMF second review

The IMF staff review of the Extended Fund Facility has been completed and a press statement issued. There is need to appreciate efforts of the government in meeting all the six performance criteria again as was the case in the first programme review. This

Published Feb 18, 2020 12:00am

IMF's projections

The article last week by me had assessed the projections made for 2019-20 by the IMF staff following the First Review. This article analyses the projections for the last two years of the Program, 2020-21 and 2021-22. The IMF projections for the next two y

Published Feb 11, 2020 12:00am

IMF's projections for 2019-20

The first review report prepared by the IMF staff became available in late-December 2019. This followed the successful completion by Pakistan of this review. All the performance criteria were met. This has improved perceptions about the extent of success

Published Feb 04, 2020 12:00am

Inflow of external financing

Pakistan's external debt and liabilities first crossed the level of $100 billion in March 2019. Consequently, the external debt to GDP ratio reached the peak of over 36 percent. Bulk of this debt is public in nature and accounts currently for almost 80 pe

Updated Jan 28, 2020 04:57am