US MIDDAY: gold climbs

Gold rallied on Tuesday as a strong performance from centrist presidential candidate Emmanuel Macron in a French election debate and fading expectations for near term US interest rate hikes pushed the dollar to a six-week low versus the euro. Weakness in the US currency helped pull the metal off early lows hit after a sharp drop in Asian trading hours, as a failure to overcome chart resistance prompted speculative selling following a four-day rally.
Spot gold was at $1,242.11 an ounce at 1537 GMT, up 0.8 percent, after earlier touching its highest since March 2 at $1,242.81 an ounce. US gold futures for April delivery were up $8.80 at $1,242.80. "We're back down below 100 on the dollar index, and that is tied in with the less aggressive rate hike expectations that we heard last week from the Fed," Mistubishi analyst Jonathan Butler said. "The fact that we're now at a six-week low in the dollar is obviously feeding into some of the strength in gold."
The metal rallied in the wake of last Wednesday's less hawkish than expected Federal Reserve policy statement, which dampened speculation that the US central bank would raise interest rates quickly this year. Gold is highly sensitive to rising US rates, as these increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion while boosting the dollar, in which it is priced. It fell in the run-up to the Fed's rate hike last week, before rebounding.
Prices were also underpinned by uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's policy direction and concerns over the impact of populist parties on European elections this year, analysts said. "The previous two hikes marked cycle lows for gold, and European election uncertainty, US President Trump's foreign policies, as well as seasonal demand in India materialising in April are likely to make Q2 the strongest quarter for gold prices this year," Standard Chartered said in a note.
Holdings of the largest gold-backed exchange traded fund, New York-listed SPDR Gold Shares, fell another 3.8 tonnes on Monday, a third day of decline. Meanwhile data from the Swiss customs bureau showed Hong Kong's net gold exports to Switzerland hit their highest in February since records began five years ago. Silver was up 0.6 percent meanwhile at $17.51, while platinum was 0.2 percent higher at $969.20. Palladium, outperforming other precious metals, was up 1 percent at $787, having earlier touched its highest in more than a month at $792.90 an ounce.