Gold struggles for traction as rate-hike bets, dollar dim appeal

Updated 12 Jul, 2022

Gold steadied on Tuesday after dropping to a nine-month low earlier as investors positioned for US economic data, with a strong dollar and bets for steep interest rate hikes still keeping a leash on non-yielding bullion.

Spot gold was little changed at $1,734.39 per ounce by 1114 GMT after hitting $1,722.36 earlier in the session, its lowest since Sept. 30. US gold futures were up 0.1% at $1,732.30.

The dollar index scaled a 20-year peak, making greenback-priced gold more expensive for buyers holding other currencies.

“Gold is set to stay significantly suppressed over the near-term, as the weight of more incoming super-sized Fed rate hikes hang like a millstone around gold’s neck,” said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Exinity.

“A higher-than-expected headline CPI print (on Wednesday)should pave the way for yet another 75 basis points hike by the Fed later this month; a scenario widely interpreted to be a negative for gold,” Tan added.

Spot gold may retest support at $1,728

However, offering some support for zero-yield gold, benchmark US 10-year Treasury yields dropped for a second consecutive session.

A raft of US economic data - including consumer prices, retail sales and factory output - should provide a glimpse of the extent to which inflation has peaked as the Federal Reserve moves closer to next week’s policy meeting.

Meanwhile, stock markets fell as prospects of further central bank tightening and worries about the health of economies worldwide unnerved investors.

Gold is struggling to hold onto any gains and any upside “will likely be minor and hard fought,” OANDA analyst Craig Erlam said.

Inflation data could hold the key to gold’s price action, with a higher number increasing the odds of another Fed rate hike in September, Erlam added.

Spot silver dropped 1.6% to $18.78 per ounce, platinum fell 2.4% to $848.96, and palladium slipped 2.2% to $2,113.79.

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