SINGAPORE: US oil may fall into a range of $95.23-$96.91 per barrel, as it has broken a key support at $99.38.

The support is identified as the 61.8% retracement of the uptrend from $92.93 to $109.81.

The break eliminates the chance of the uptrend’s extension.

In the meantime, the chance of a drop to $92.93 has significantly increased.

Resistance is at $101.37, a break above which could lead to a gain into $103.36-$105.83 range.

On the daily chart, a triangle is becoming invalid. A bullish target of $130.50 has been aborted.

US oil may test support at $93.80

The current fall looks like a continuation of the downtrend from $130.50.

The trend consists of five waves. The fifth wave, wave E, is unfolding towards $93.79.