Sterling rises as UK, EU continue Brexit talks

03 Oct, 2020

LONDON: Sterling rose on Friday, after German Chancellor Angela Merkel said she had no breakthrough to announce from EU talks with Britain but remained optimistic that a deal on their post-Brexit trade relationship was still possible before year-end.

Both British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the European Union have set a mid-October goal for reaching a trade agreement, but the EU's chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier suggested talks would continue up until the end of the month.

A more important meeting is set for Saturday, when British Prime Minister Boris Johnson will meet with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen to discuss the next steps.

"This meeting is what sterling longs needed," said Jordan Rochester, forex strategist at Nomura.

Still, the pound is unlikely to strengthen by much until it becomes clear in which direction the talks are headed, he said. "With each headline you get sucked in to put trades on and within minutes a denial comes in and it turns either way."

The pound had a tumultuous day on Thursday, rising and falling in response to Brexit-related news, as Britain and the EU neared the end of the last scheduled round of trade talks before the bloc's leaders assess progress on Oct. 15-16.

Rochester has been advising clients not to trade sterling unless they have to. The pound was last trading up 0.5% versus the euro at 90.63 pence and up by 0.4% against the US dollar at $1.2936.

Sterling overnight volatility gauges receded however. The cost for options on a three-month contract for protection against volatility also fell to a one-month low. Britain is struggling with a coronavirus-induced economic recession, another headache in addition to Brexit.

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