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World Print edition: 2019-12-19

UK inflation holds below BoE target

British inflation remained at a three-year low in November, comfortably below the Bank of England's 2% target before its next interest rate announcement on Thursday, official data showed.
Published Updated

British inflation remained at a three-year low in November, comfortably below the Bank of England's 2% target before its next interest rate announcement on Thursday, official data showed.

Consumer prices rose at an annual rate of 1.5% for a second month running in November, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said on Wednesday, a little stronger than the median expectation for a 1.4% increase in a Reuters poll of economists.

The figures are unlikely to shift expectations that two of the Bank of England's nine monetary policy officials will again vote to cut rates this week, though political uncertainty in Britain has been reduced by the scale of Prime Minister Boris Johnson's victory in last week's election.

The BoE said last month that inflation would probably fall to 1.25% in early 2020 because of caps on energy and water prices, but was likely to be back above its 2% target in about three years' time.

The two officials who voted to cut rates at the November meeting cited signs of a cooling in Britain's labour market, and the Monetary Policy Committee as a whole sounded cautious about the outlook as the global economy slowed.

"With inflation well below target, little sign of underlying price pressures and GDP growth running below trend, an interest rate cut on Thursday shouldn't be completely ruled out," said Ruth Gregory, economist at consultancy Capital Economics.

British government bond prices fell on the data.

Copyright Reuters, 2019

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