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The National Consumer Price Index has registered an increase of 11.37 percent from 113.90 points in September 2018 to 126.86 points in September 2019, said Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS). The PBS last month changed the base year from 2007-08 to 2015-16 but has decided to also compute CPI inflation for a certain period based on the old base year 2007-08. According to PBS, the National CPI is now computed on the basis of urban and rural indices.
The urban CPI with base year 2015-16 recorded an increase of 11.56 percent from 114.49 points to 127.72 points while rural CPI with base year 2015-16 recorded an increase of 11.10 percent from 113.01 points to 125.55 points. The CPI with old base year 2007-08 recorded an increase of 12.55 percent from 229.12 points to 257.87 points.
Under the new system, the PBS analyzes CPI of urban and rural areas separately and then combines both results to determine National CPI which is considered the standard CPI based inflation rate for the country. The urban CPI covers 35 cities and 356 consumer items whereas the rural CPI covers 27 rural centers and 244 consumer items. In the new base year (2015-16), national CPI for 12 major groups is also computed by taking weighted average of urban CPI and rural CPI.
The PBS has changed the base year for price statistics from 2007-08 to 2015-16 and the body's Governing Council has directed that the CPI for new base year (2015-16) will be published along with CPI for old base year 2007-08 for some time, Dr Bahrawar said. The CPI National with base year (2015-16) for September 2019 registered an increase of 0.77 percent over August 2019 from 125.89 points to 126.86 points.
The urban CPI for September 2019 increased by 0.75 percent from 126.77 to 127.72 in August 2019, while rural CPI of September 2019 witnessed an increase of 0.79 percent over August 2019 from 124.56 points to 125.55 points. Following commodities on month-on-month (MoM) basis witnessed an increase on account of Urban CPI in September 2019 against August 2019; fresh vegetables, 15.78 percent, onions, 10.86 percent, tea, 8.15 percent, milk products, 4.74 percent, wheat flour, 3.22 percent, potato, 3.16 percent, milk fresh, 2.83 percent, wheat, 1.92 percent, milk powder, 1.47 percent, pulse gram, 1.41 percent, vegetable ghee, 1.3 percent, gur, 1.16 percent, and pulse Masoor, 1.11 percent.
Following items witnessed a reduction on MoM basis in urban regions; tomatoes, 5.84 percent, fresh fruits, 5.6 percent, chicken, 4.42 percent, and eggs, 2.36 percent. On MoM basis, following non-food items witnessed an increase; MBBS doctor clinic fee, 1.79 percent, stationery, 1.33 percent, cotton cloth, 0.93 percent, construction input items, 0.88 percent, and tailoring, 0.79 percent. Following non-food items' prices witnessed decrease: motor fuel, 3.23 percent, electricity charges, 0.99 percent, and liquefied hydrocarbons, 0.76 percent.
On year-on-year (YoY) basis, following food items' prices witnessed an increase; onions, 108.71 percent, chicken, 79.39 percent, pulse Moong, 46.77 percent, cigarettes, 37.97 percent, sugar, 36.93 percent, potato, 36.32 percent, pulse Mash, 29.6 percent, fresh vegetables, 27.77 percent, gur, 27.53 percent, cooking oil, 20.3 percent, vegetable ghee, 18.33 percent, tea, 16.38 percent, pulse Masoor, 13.42 percent, meat, 12.65 percent, wheat flour, 12.27 percent, milk powder, 10.86 percent, pulse gram, 10.81 percent, and wheat, 10.12 percent. According to PBS, during the period under review only tomatoes' price went down by 15.06 percent.
On YoY basis following non-food items' prices went up; gas charges, 114.64 percent, motor vehicle accessories, 22.14 percent, motor fuel, 21.98 percent, motor vehicles, 21.21 percent, construction input items, 18.96 percent, MBBS doctor clinic fee, 15.84 percent, cotton cloth, 13.87 percent, footwear, 11.94 percent, and transport services, 11.48 percent.
According to PBS from September 2018 to September 2019 following non-food items' prices registered a decline; liquefied hydrocarbons, 21.1 percent, and electricity charges, 1.19 percent. According to PBS Wholesale Price Index (WPI) on YoY basis witnessed an increase of 15.90 percent from 121.22 points in September 2018 to 140.49 points in September 2019 and WPI on MoM basis went up by 0.07 percent from 140.39 points in August 2019 to 140.49 in September 2019.
The WPI on the basis of YoY recorded an increase for the following commodities; poultry, 87.02 percent, liquefied natural gas, 86.91 percent, vegetables, 51.65 percent, refined sugar, 37.54 percent, dyeing material, 32.51 percent, spices, 27.66 percent, sugarcane, 27.27 percent, cotton seeds, 26.42 percent, fertilizers, 25.21 percent, motor vehicles, 24.84 percent, steel bar & sheets, 24.08 percent, motor spirit, 22.68 percent, and diesel oil, 20.37 percent. While WPI of following items registered a reduction on YoY basis; hides, skins & fur skins, raw, 31.08 percent, and eggs, 5.51 percent.
On MoM basis WPI of following items recorded an increase; vegetables, 45.48 percent, poultry, 8.06 percent, wheat flour, 4.85 percent, fuel wood in logs, 4.71 percent, fertilizers, 4.44 percent, coffee & tea, 4.26 percent, medicines, 3.71 percent, maize, 3.47 percent, raw milk from bovine animals, 3.43 percent, printing paper, 3.35 percent, electric wires, 2.94 percent, pulses, 2.87 percent, meat of animals, 2.8 percent, pesticides, 2.7 percent, wheat, 2.11 percent, vegetable ghee, 1.87 percent, cotton seeds, 1.82 percent, rice, 1.71 percent, vegetable oils refined, 1.64 percent, cement, 1.31 percent, motorcycles, 1.14 percent, fruit juices, 1.1 percent, and beverages, 1 percent.
And WPI of following items registered a decline; furnace oil, 13.39 percent, hides, skins & fur skins, raw, 12.77 percent, millet/bajra, 6.97 percent, diesel oil, 5.08 percent, kerosene oil, 4.11 percent, motor spirit, 4.01 percent, cotton yarn, 3.13 percent, and fresh fruits, 1.9 percent.

Copyright Business Recorder, 2019

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