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Markets

Industrial metals slide as oil surge fuel inflation, growth worries

  • Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 0.1% at $12,765 a metric ton
Published Updated
Photo: Reuters
Photo: Reuters
By

LONDON: Industrial metal prices came under pressure on Monday as surging oil prices due to the conflict in the Middle East fuelled fears about inflation and global growth prospects, traders said.

Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 0.1% at $12,765 a metric ton at 1055 GMT. Investors see copper as a gauge of economic health due to its use in the power and construction industries.

Oil prices have jumped more than 40% as the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran continued to disrupt oil production and shipping in the Middle East.

High energy costs damage growth by pushing up costs for households and businesses, squeezing spending and profits. They also stoke inflation and force central banks to keep policy tight.

Stronger economic data from China helped support sentiment. China’s industrial output rose 6.3% year-on-year in January-February and fixed asset investment rose 1.8%. Both readings beat estimates.

Aluminium nears four-year high on ME supply fears

However, rising copper stocks in warehouses monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange suggest subdued demand in China, the world’s largest consumer of industrial metals. Copper inventories in LME-approved warehouses have also climbed.

Expectations of sluggish demand have widened the discount for the LME cash copper contract over the three-month forward to above $100 a ton from nearly $20 a ton at the beginning of March.

Elsewhere, aluminium is expected to hold firm due to shortages created by disruptions to Middle East supply and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

A prolonged U.S.-Israeli war against Iran could create severe shortages of aluminium used in the transport, construction and packaging industries.

The Middle East produces roughly seven million tons of aluminium annually, or about 9% of the global total.

Problems with supplies of power - vital for the aluminium smelting process - have prompted production curtailments. Aluminium Bahrain was the latest, initiating a shutdown of three aluminium smelting lines on Sunday, accounting for 19% of its capacity.

Aluminium retreated 1.5% to $3,389, zinc lost 0.9% to $3,266, lead fell 0.5% to $1,897, tin gained 1% to $47,540 and nickel was flat at

$17,270 a ton.

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