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Print Print edition: 2011-10-07

BoE keeps interest rates on hold

Published Updated

The Bank of England has launched a second round of quantitative easing to defend Britain''s faltering economy against the eurozone debt crisis, pledging to buy 75 billion pounds of assets with new money in a dramatic move to stave off recession.
Thursday''s decision by the BoE to expand its asset purchase programme to a total of 275 billion pounds ($424 billion) highlights the precarious state of Britain''s economy as global growth slows, government spending cuts and tax hikes bite, and consumers face high inflation and slow wage rises.
In a letter to finance minister George Osborne seeking approval for the move, BoE governor Mervyn King said the global economic recovery was faltering and that the euro debt crisis had created severe strains on financial markets. "These tensions in the world economy threaten the UK recovery," King wrote.
While inflation is still expected to rise above 5 percent over the next months, the recent deterioration of the outlook had made it more likely inflation would undershoot the 2 percent target over the medium term, the BoE said. Economists in a Reuters poll had reckoned there was only a 40 percent chance the central bank would restart its asset purchase programme, or quantitative easing, this month, and most had only expected an injection of 50 billion pounds whenever it came.
The move puts the BoE ahead of other central banks in responding to a darkening global economic outlook and renewed market turmoil. Sterling weakened to its lowest in more than a year against the dollar, and long-dated gilt yields tumbled to record lows as markets braced for BoE asset purchases.
"Once again the BoE has made use of its secret weapon - shock and awe," said Alan Clarke, an economist at Scotia Capital. "Pretty much everyone expected QE to restart at some point - but it was only a minority view that it would start this soon, or be in excess of 50 billion pounds. In doing so the Bank has achieved the most bang for its buck."
---- UK launches fresh stimulus with 75 billion pound cash boost Some economists said the central bank may eventually expand the total of its purchases to as much as 500 billion pounds.
The BoE has kept interest rates on hold at a record-low 0.5 percent since March 2009, unlike the European Central Bank, which raised them twice this year. The UK central bank bought 200 billion pounds-worth of assets with from March 2009 to February 2010.
The BoE''s move to buy more government bonds with new money was welcomed by the government and businesses, but the boost it will provide to the economy is far from certain given bond yields are already at record lows.
Britain''s economy has basically flat-lined over the past 12 months. With the government''s hands tied by its pledge to erase a budget deficit of some 10 percent of GDP, pressure has been mounting on the bank to do more to support the economy. The BoE has kept rates at 0.5 percent for more than 2-1/2 years - already its longest period of inaction since World War Two - and its stock of asset purchases unchanged since February 2010, when the economy was emerging from a deep recession. But the momentum shifted over the summer from a bias to hike rates to more easing as stocks slumped and the euro crisis triggered fears of bank collapses and a renewed recession.

Copyright Reuters, 2011

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