Markets

Yuan steady, Chinese firms sell dollars after post

Published October 10, 2012 Updated October 10, 2012 05:38am

 

The post-holiday influx of dollars had put off a long-anticipated correction in the yuan, they said, and had helped the Chinese currency defy a rally in the dollar in global markets.

 

Spot yuan traded at 6.2873 versus the dollar at midday, after moving in a narrow range of 6.2866 and 6.2899, little changed compared with Tuesday's close of 6.2878.

 

"Dollar selling was heavy whenever the yuan approached 6.29," said a dealer at a European bank in Shanghai."As trading indicates the yuan has little potential to fall, companies tend to bid the yuan at a higher level."

 

The yuan hit an all-time high on Monday after scoring its biggest monthly gain this year in September, partly because the US Federal Reserve's launch o f a third round of quantitative easing (QE3) sparked strong interest in riskier assets such as emerging market currencies, while depressing the US currency.

 

Before Wednesday's trading began, the People's Bank of China set the yuan's midpoint at 6.3449, slightly weaker than Tuesday's 6.3441.

 

The central bank has set a slew of midpoints much weaker than the yuan's trading levels since mid-September, in what traders said was a sign that the authorities, worried by China's weakening exports, were trying to prevent renewed speculation on yuan appreciation after the Fed's QE3.

 

Traders said the corporate dollar selling helped offset strength in the dollar index, which rose above 80 in Asian trade on Wednesday, its strongest level since mid-September when the Fed announced QE3.

 

Despite the yuan's recent strength, 20 analysts in a Reuters poll published on Tuesday forecast the yuan was likely to weaken slightly by the year-end before returning to a path of gradual appreciation that should see it gain around 1 percent over the coming 12 months.

 

The median forecast saw the yuan at 6.30 to the dollar by the end of December 2012, before rallying to 6.23 to the greenback by the end of September 2013.

 

China's exports grew 2.7 percent year-on-year in August, below the 3 percent forecast in a Reuters poll and much weaker than an official target of 10 percent increase for all 2012.

 

The government will announce trade data for September on Oct. 13 and gross domestic product growth for the third quarter on Oct. 18.

 

Copyright Reuters, 2012