C$ recovers from 2-week low as trade signals drive FX market  

09 May, 2019

Global equities

slumped to a more than five-week low after US President Donald Trump ratcheted up trade tensions with China ahead of a high-stakes negotiation.

Canada runs a current account deficit and exports many commodities, including oil, so its economy could be hurt by a slowdown in the global flow of capital or trade.

"The price action is being completely driven by the pending decision of whether or not the White House will raise taxes on Chinese goods," said Brad Schruder, director of corporate sales and structuring at BMO Capital Markets

"Long (US) dollar positions were trimmed against other safe-haven currencies, such as the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc. That prompted some US dollar weakness across the board and goes a long way to explaining why the Canadian dollar is slightly better on the day," Schruder said.

The US dollar declined against a basket of major currencies, while the price or oil, one of Canada's major exports, settled 0.7pc lower at $61.70 a barrel.

Still, oil pared earlier losses after Trump revived investor hopes that the United States might not raise tariffs on Chinese imports.

At 4:03 p.m. (2003 GMT), the Canadian dollar was trading 0.1pc higher at 1.3461 to the greenback, or 74.29 US cents.

Earlier in the session, the currency touched its weakest level since April 25 at 1.3505.

Canada's trade deficit in March shrank slightly to C$3.21 billion as higher energy shipments helped exports increase at a slightly faster rate than imports, Statistics Canada said.

The deficit was greater than the C$2.45 billion shortfall that analysts had predicted.

Separate data showed that new housing prices in Canada were unchanged in March for the seventh month out of eight, with little or no growth in the major markets of Toronto and Vancouver.

Canada's jobs report for April is due on Friday, which could help guide expectations for future interest rate decisions from the Bank of Canada.

Canadian government bond prices were higher across the yield curve in sympathy with US Treasuries.

The two-year rose 2.7 Canadian cents to yield 1.583pc and the 10-year climbed 20 Canadian cents to yield 1.685pc.

Copyright Reuters, 2019

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