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Markets

Copper rebounds on lower dollar; nickel drops

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The dollar fell against a basket of major currencies on Friday, making it cheaper for buyers using other currencies to purchase greenback-denominated metals.

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was up 0.6 percent at $6,444.50 a tonne, as of 0720 GMT, while the most active Shanghai copper contract fell 0.2 percent to 49,280 yuan ($7,335.30) a tonne.

London nickel fell 0.5 percent, after declining 1.9 percent in the previous session in its biggest drop in four weeks. The contract has been the best performer among base metals on the LME, supported by low inventory.

Shanghai nickel dropped 2.2 percent.

The global nickel market will face grave supply shortages unless key Chinese-led projects in Indonesia come online in a timely manner, analysts said on Thursday.

"Fundamentals continue to support nickel prices in view of the rebound of Chinese stainless steel production in March, low SHFE inventory and inherent supply deficits of nickel sulphates due to low production," said analyst Helen Lau of Argonaut Securities in a note on Friday.

FUNDAMENTALS

* NICKEL STOCKPILES: LME nickel inventory <MNISTX-TOTAL> continued to hover around its lowest level since 2013, while on-warrant nickel inventory in warehouses tracked by ShFE <SNI-TOTAL-D> stayed around its lowest since 2015.

* BYD: Chinese electric car and battery maker BYD Co Ltd , worried about nickel supply, said it welcomed joint ventures to secure supply of the metal used to make batteries for electric vehicles.

* CHINA DATA: China's exports rebounded in March but imports shrank for a fourth straight month and at a sharper pace, painting a mixed picture of the economy as trade talks with the United States reach their endgame.

* PRICES: Other London metals rose slightly after China released its trade data, but most Shanghai metals ended lower.

London lead edged up 0.1 percent, but was still on track for its sixth straight weekly decline on concern that weak auto sales would dampen demand for car batteries.

* UPSIDE: "We believe (base metal) prices will witness limited upside in the coming weeks, unless a U.S.-China trade deal is finally struck, as concerns over global growth continue," said Fitch Solutions in a note Friday. "Nevertheless non-ferrous metal prices remain elevated in the year-to-date and we expect them to head higher from spot as we move into H219 on the back of robust demand from China," it said.

Copyright Reuters, 2019