Markets

NY coffee may test $1.2675 in Q4

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These resistances are identified respectively as the 50 percent and the 38.2 percent projection levels of a downward wave C from $2.2910.

This wave was disrupted by a strong support at $1.0255 which caused the current bounce. A falling channel indicates a bounce target around $1.2675.

It is not very clear that the wave C has completed. A break above $1.2675 could suggest the completion of this wave and a higher target at $1.5090 will be established.

However, it could be extremely difficult for coffee to break $1.2675, as a falling trendline will also exert a strong resistance slightly above this level. A decent correction or a resumption of the downtrend could be observed when coffee approaches the trendline.

A break below $1.0255 could simply suggest the continuation of the downtrend towards $0.7265.

Copyright Reuters, 2018