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Indian shares set to open higher as oil eases, RBI moves to support rupee

  • GIFT Nifty ‌futures were at 22,624.5
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Indian shares are set to open higher on Monday after snapping their longest weekly losing run in 25 years on Friday, as oil prices fell on expectations of a ​Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire and the central bank unveiled new currency-support measures.

GIFT Nifty ‌futures were at 22,624.5 at 7:53 a.m. IST, indicating a positive start for the Nifty 50, which closed at 22,520.45 on Friday.

Brent crude futures fell 1.6% to $103 a barrel, after US President Donald Trump said Ukraine ​and Russia had agreed to halt attacks on each other’s energy facilities following ​a US diesel-supply deal with Moscow, easing immediate supply pressure.

However, the Middle East ⁠conflict kept crude above $100 a barrel, keeping sentiment capped.

Over the weekend, the Reserve Bank ​of India unveiled fresh measures to shore up the rupee, redirecting oil companies’ dollar purchases away ​from the spot market and tightening hedging rules as the currency hovers near record lows.

The RBI’s steps to curb spot-dollar demand and support the rupee ease currency volatility, helping temper inflation and foreign outflows—both positives for ​equity-market sentiment.

“The recent rebound after an eight-week losing streak is encouraging, but not sufficient to ​confirm a sustained recovery, and at this stage, it appears more like a relief rally,” said Pabitro ‌Mukherjee, deputy ⁠vice president of research at Bajaj Broking.

The Nifty and Sensex rose 0.4% and 0.8% last week, helped by upbeat quarterly updates from financials and a rise in IT company Tata Consultancy Services as the software firm’s earnings underscored growing AI-related revenue contribution.

“Market needs stronger price action ​and supportive macroeconomic developments ​to establish a durable ⁠uptrend,” Mukherjee said.

Foreign portfolio investors offloaded domestic stocks for 11 straight sessions, with outflows of 35.69 billion Indian rupees on Friday.

Domestic institutional investors ​bought shares worth a net 47.43 billion rupees ($490.18 million), as per ​NSE’s provisional data.