Oil prices rise on expectations

13 Oct, 2023

NEW YORK: Oil prices rose on Thursday on expectations that US interest rates had peaked, but gains were capped by a large build in US crude stockpiles and a forecast for slower demand growth next year from the International Energy Agency.

Brent futures rose 92 cents, or 1.1%, at $86.74 per barrel at 11:39 a.m. ET (1540 GMT). US West Texas Intermediate crude gained 68 cents, or 0.8%, at $84.17 a barrel.

Prices pared gains after US government data showed US crude inventories rose by 10.2 million barrels in the last week to 424.2 million barrels, much higher than analyst expectations for a 500,000-barrel rise.

US crude output also hit a record 13.2 million barrels per day in the week, the data showed. “The crude build was stunning. The market is taking it as a little bearish, and it’s pulled us off the (session) highs,” said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures Group.

Supporting crude futures earlier, world shares rose and the dollar and bond market borrowing costs held steady ahead of US inflation data and European Central Bank meeting minutes that will add to the debate on where interest rates are heading.

Data on Thursday also showed that US inflation was slowing, further supporting expectations that the Fed will freeze interest rate hikes next month.

Lower US bond yields are stoking risk appetite, which in turn is supporting equities and oil, UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

“Both the Saudi energy minister Prince Abdulaziz and Russia’s deputy prime minister Novak reiterating their ongoing collaboration to balance oil markets are helping,” he added.

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