Gold scales near two-week peak as Treasury yields retreat

24 Aug, 2023

NEW YORK: Gold prices jumped 1% to a near two-week high on Wednesday, helped by a pullback in US bond yields and the dollar as investors looked ahead to the Jackson Hole symposium for guidance on interest rates.

Spot gold rose 1% to $1,916.10 per ounce by 11:25 a.m. EDT (1524 GMT), after hitting its highest since Aug. 11. US gold futures also climbed 1% to $1,945.50.

“It (gold) was a little oversold ahead of itself and we’re getting a bounce on some bargain hunting and then short covering,” said Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, adding that a slight dip in yields is also helping. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields slipped from near 16-year highs hit in the previous session, while the dollar fell after weak US PMI data, making gold more attractive for other currency holders.

The S&P Global’s flash US composite PMI index showed US business activity approached the stagnation point in August, with growth at its weakest since February as demand for new business in the vast service sector contracted. Market participants’ focus will be on a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole on Friday for additional clues about the path for interest rates. According to the CME’s FedWatch Tool, the probability that the Fed leaves rates unchanged at its September meeting is now at 88.5%.

Gold is highly sensitive to rising US interest rates, as they increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. “People are expecting a continued hawkish tone from Chair Powell. It is too early for him to point to a loosening in policy on the horizon,” said Daniel Ghali, commodity strategist at TD Securities.

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