US MIDDAY: Gold drops

26 Jan, 2022

LONDON: Gold fell on Tuesday as the US dollar and Treasury yields gained on expectations of faster US rate hikes, but bullion held above its $1,830 key level as safe-haven assets were still in demand amid escalating tensions over Ukraine.

Spot gold fell 0.4% to $1,836.06 per ounce by 1031 GMT, while US gold futures slipped 0.3% to $1,836.20.

Despite the Fed likely set to announce the start of a US rate hike cycle this week, gold keeps holding up well. Support for the yellow metal comes from high inflation and elevated market volatility.

“Unless the Fed surprises with an even more hawkish statement, gold (could) stay supported,” said Staunovo, adding that historically, gold outperforms equities when market volatility increases.

Risk appetite was dampened on concerns that Russia will invade Ukraine. NATO on Monday said it was putting forces on standby and reinforcing Eastern Europe with more ships and fighter jets.

US benchmark 10-year yields recovered from last session’s lows, while the dollar was close to two-week highs ahead of the Fed’s two-day policy meeting starting later in the day.

The Fed is expected to signal on Wednesday that it plans to raise rates in March and offer insight into how aggressive the central bank intends to be. Rising interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-interest bearing bullion.

Gradual rate hikes, accompanied by declining inflation, steady economic growth and stable markets may be the ideal scenario for US monetary policy, but this is a difficult path to stay on, BofA Global Research said in a note.

“The risk of a policy mistake is high and rising equity volatility tends to support perceived safe havens, gold included.”

Spot silver fell 1.1% to $23.70 an ounce. Platinum slipped 0.8% to $1,019.43.

Palladium rose 1.5% to $2,179.75, having jumped to the highest since Nov 18.

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