U.S. dollar raises vs most currencies as Fed taper talk gathers pace

14 Sep, 2021

NEW YORK: The dollar climbed to a two-week peak against a basket of currencies on Monday, bolstered by expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve could reduce its asset purchases by the end of the year despite a surge in COVID-19 cases.

The greenback, however, came off its highs in afternoon trading.

The dollar index earlier rose to 92.887, its highest since Aug. 27. It was last up slightly at92.664.

A round of U.S. economic data is due out this week, starting with consumer prices on Tuesday, which willgive the latest update on how hot inflation has been ahead of next week's Fed meeting.

Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker became the latest official to say he wants the central bank tostart tapering this year, saying in a Nikkei interview that he was keen to scale back asset purchases.

Tapering talk has boosted the dollar, said Erik Nelson, macro strategist at Wells Fargo Securities inNew York.

Dollar dips on stronger risk appetite after US, China call

"We noticed from the Fed communication that they would like to de-link the taper from the rate hike,"Nelson said. "But it will take a lot of convincing and frankly a lot of time for the market to change itsreaction function. For now, a taper timeline is closely linked to a rate hike timeline in the market."

Tapering typically lifts the dollar as it means a step toward tighter monetary policy. It also means theFed will be buying fewer debt assets, which suggests there will be fewer dollars in circulation.

The Wall Street Journal reported on Friday that Fed officials will seek an agreement to begin paringbond purchases in November.

Aside from inflation, U.S. retail sales and production figures are also scheduled for release this week.

"Another high CPI (consumer price index) reading this week in the face of weakening economic data could begin to paint the Fed into a corner as pressure mounts for stimulus normalization," said Christopher Vecchio, senior analyst at DailyFX.com, the research unit of forex broker IG.

The euro was among the currencies to lose ground to the dollar, dipping to $1.1770, its lowest in alittle over two weeks, after the European Central Bank said last week it would start to trim its ownemergency bond purchases. The euro was last down 0.1pc at $1.1801.

Against the yen, the dollar was up 0.1pc at 110 yen. The dollar also gained 0.5pc versus theSwiss franc to 0.9228.

In the cryptocurrency market, bitcoin was down 2.8pc at $44,762.

Litecoin, with a market cap of nearly $12 billion and one of the earliest digital currencies inCirculation, fell 2.6pc to $180.78, according to crypto data tracker CoinGecko, after Walmart Incsaid a press release regarding the retailer's partnership with the cryptocurrency was fake.

Litecoin rose as much as 27.4pc on the fake news.

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