NY cocoa may rebound to $2,846/T
The fall is too linear to be sustainable, as a bullish divergence on the RSI indicator suggests cocoa is technically strongest now, especially after the possible completion of a five-wave cycle.
On the daily candlesticks chart, the candlesticks of the previous two trading sessions together formed a "harami cross", a bullish reversal pattern, indicating an exhaustion of the fall.
Strategically, a rise above $2,800 will extend to $2,846, the presumed wave "4" peak, while a fall below a support at $2,738, an hourly chart low, will confirm the resumption the downtrend.
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Copyright Reuters, 2011