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IMF Sri Lanka Country Director Koshy Mathai released the forecast at a press conference after the global lender cleared the release of the sixth tranche of a $2.6 billion loan.
Mathai also said there was no sign Sri Lanka's $50 billion economy would overheat in the near term, nor was there any indication that demand-driven inflation would pick up.
"Inflation is mainly due to supply shocks and we haven't seen any demand-driven inflation," he said.