Malaysian palm oil futures rose on Monday, tracking overnight gains in US soyaoil on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) and supported by expectations that Indian edible oil imports could jump to record levels this year. The benchmark palm oil contract for October delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange was up 0.6% at 1,983 ringgit ($482.36) per tonne, snapping two days of losses.
Palm oil may rise to 2,001 ringgit per tonne, as suggested by a projection analysis, said Wang Tao, a Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals. "The market is up tracking US soyaoil, while news from India also aided the market," said a Kuala Lumpur-based trader. India's edible oil imports are likely to rise 7.3% in 2019/20 to a record high as scant monsoon rains are expected to curtail yields of summer-sown oilseeds such as soyabeans and groundnut, said a senior industry official.
India is the world's largest edible oil consumer, and counts palm oil as one of its key imports. In related oils, US soyaoil futures were down 0.2% as of 1041 GMT on Monday, having jumped 1.6% on Friday. Chicago corn and soyabean futures settled up on Friday as investors weighed trade talks between the United States and China and expected cooler US weather against uncertainty over acreage levels following a rain-soaked spring.
US grains, however, settled lower on Monday as forecasts of cooler weather across much of the US Midwest eased fears about potential yield losses. Meanwhile, the September soyaoil contract on the Dalian exchange rose 0.5% and the Dalian September palm oil contract gained 0.6%. Palm oil prices are affected by movements in related oils that compete for a share of the global vegetable oils market.
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