Malaysian palm oil futures extended gains to a more than four-month high on Tuesday evening, supported by bullish price forecasts at an industry conference over the weekend and strength in US soyaoil. The benchmark palm oil contract for April delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange rose as much as 1.9 percent to 2,269 ringgit ($549.39) a tonne, its strongest since Sept. 7.
It was last up 1.7 percent at 2,263 ringgit at the close of trade. Trading volumes stood at 40,437 lots of 25 tonnes each at the end of the trading day. "Palm is up on support from Friday's gains in rival oilseed and bullish price outlook by leading market analysts at the Pakistan Edible Oils Conference," said a Kuala Lumpur-based futures trader. Malaysian and US markets were closed on Monday for holidays.
Leading analysts forecast at the conference that palm prices would rise in the coming months as production and stocks fall in line with a seasonal trend. Prices of vegetable oils, including palm oil, are set to rise by $50-$100 per tonne by June, according to analyst James Fry, while Dorab Mistry forecast benchmark prices to rise to 2,400 ringgit a tonne by end-March.
Indonesian palm oil prices are also forecast to rise to as high as $600 a tonne amid rising demand from the food and energy sector, slowing production growth and declining global stockpiles, said analyst Thomas Mielke. Rising demand could also reduce stockpiles and support prices. Malaysian palm oil shipments during Jan. 1-20 rose 11.8-12.9 percent from a month earlier, according to cargo surveyors Intertek Testing Services and AmSpec Agri Malaysia.
In related oils, the Chicago March soyabean oil contract rose 0.8 percent on Friday, and was last up 0.5 percent on Tuesday. Palm oil prices are impacted by movements in soyaoil rates, as they compete for a share in the global vegetable oil market. Meanwhile, the May soyabean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange was up 0.8 percent and the Dalian January palm oil contract gained 0.2 percent.
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