Vulnerable economies: UN says Hormuz disruption may have lasting impact

GENEVA: The UN trade and development agency warned on Tuesday that while the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz will bring immediate relief to energy markets, vulnerable economies remain at risk from prolonged increases in food and fuel costs.

Food and transport systems are likely to take longer than energy markets to recover, as disrupted supply chains need more time to reset following more than 100 days of severe disruption to shipping through the strategic waterway, a UN Conference on Trade and Development said in a new report.

The strait, which normally carries about one-fifth of global oil and gas supplies, was effectively paralysed during the conflict triggered by joint US-Israeli strikes on Iran in late February.

Although Brent crude has fallen sharply back to around USD 73 a barrel, close to pre-conflict levels, following the interim US-Iran agreement, UNCTAD said higher fuel, gas and fertiliser costs could continue to feed through into agricultural production, transport costs and household budgets.