Indonesia Q4 GDP growth beats forecast, highest since 2022

JAKARTA: Indonesia’s economy grew 5.39% on an annual basis in the October-December quarter of 2025, official data showed on Thursday, above a forecast by analysts and the highest rate since the third quarter of 2022.

Economists in a Reuters poll had expected growth of 5.01% in the fourth quarter.

The fourth quarter increase was faster than the 5.04% annual growth rate in the third quarter.

On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, the gross domestic product rose 0.86% in the fourth quarter compared to the previous three months, Statistics Indonesia data showed.

For the full year of 2025, the economy grew 5.11% from a year earlier.

The government had set an economic growth target of 5.2% for 2025, rising to 5.4% in 2026.

To help boost growth, Jakarta rolled out a 16.23 trillion rupiah stimulus package in 2025 to help raise household spending, which contributes around half of the country’s GDP.

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The measures included the distribution of rice to 18.3 million households in the fourth quarter, the waiving of personal income tax for workers in the tourism sector, and the allocation of 5.3 trillion rupiah to a “cash for work” scheme for more than 600,000 people over the September to December period.

The government has also announced a 12 trillion rupiah assistance programme to supply rice and cooking oil over the first quarter this year in a bid to boost first-quarter growth.