The central bank added that through the first 10 months of the ongoing fiscal year, CAB remains in surplus of $800mn, which is “a significant turnaround from the $4.7bn deficit during the same period last year.
He was hopeful that the introduction of two new products including the Roshan Apni Car and Roshan Samaji Khidmat to increase the participation of Overseas Pakistanis will be successful.
Revenue fell slightly from 7.7 percent of GDP in the first half of FY2020 to 7.4 percent a year later, primarily from a decline in nontax revenue, which had been exceptionally high in the previous year.
Assuming the COVID-19 vaccine rollout is successful and economic stabilization measures are implemented, growth is expected to accelerate to 4pc in 2022 with improved consumption and investor confidence.
The report highlighted that investment and productivity, which are the two major drivers of growth are not only rather low in Pakistan, but are on a decline.
On Friday, Shaukat Tarin was appointed as the fourth Finance and Revenue Minister to head Ministry of Finance (MoF) in less than three years ahead of the budget for the next fiscal year.
Taking all these observations into account, YoY inflation for next month may remain between 5.5−7.5 percent.
The Monthly Economic Indicator (MEI), which is based on combining monthly data of indicators that are proven to be correlated with GDP at constant prices shows continued strong growth in January, in continuation with what was observed in the previous seven months.
The study results suggest that FATF grey-listing, starting in 2008 and till 2019, may have resulted in cumulative real GDP losses of approximately $38bn.
Fitch states that a very likely rebound in the global economy along with a global vaccine rollout will also bode well for exports which will in turn feed into private consumption through better employment prospects in export related sectors.
The central bank said that it has also significantly revised its forecast for remittances for CY20, from an initial projection of a 23 percent decline to a growth of 9 percent.
Bajwa informed that the second phase of CPEC will be about job creation and increasing investment opportunities, which will be achieved through industrialization and enhancing the agriculture sector.
The head of the powerful U.S. House of Representatives Ways and Means Committee on Friday slammed what he called President Donald Trump’s “unsophisticated response” to China’s ambitions and called for a major recalibration of U.S. policies.
Chairman Richard Neal, a Democrat, urged the future administration of fellow-Democrat Joe Biden to formulate a package of programs and investment to counterbalance China.
Britain is more likely to leave the European Union’s orbit on Dec. 31 without a trade deal than with an agreement, an EU official quoted the head of the European Commission.
A no-trade deal Brexit would damage the economies of northern Europe, send shockwaves through financial markets, snarl borders and sow chaos through the delicate supply chains which stretch across Europe and beyond.