Gold near 6-week low in Europe

12 Jan, 2021

LONDON: Gold fell on Monday, hovering close to a six-week trough hit earlier in the session, pressured by a robust dollar and higher US Treasury yields amid expectations of more fiscal stimulus.

Spot gold fell 0.9% to $1,832.60 per ounce by 1425 GMT, after touching its lowest since Dec. 2 at $1,816.53. Gold last week recorded its biggest percentage fall since late November.

US gold futures eased 0.1% to $1,833.10.

Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with ThinkMarkets, said that gold was retreating because of the dollar making further gains.

But this trend is likely to be short-lived and “there is an increased potential for gold to go higher in medium-term,” with the massive amount of liquidity also likely to support demand for physical gold, he added.

The dollar index scaled a near three-week peak, amid gains in the US 10-year Treasury yield.

Julius Baer analyst Carsten Menke said in a note the bank was “neutral” on the outlook for gold.

“We believe safe-haven demand (for gold) should fade further as we project a resumption of the economic recovery despite renewed lockdowns in many European countries,” Menke added.

Federal Reserve Vice Chair Richard Clarida on Friday said the US economy was headed for an “impressive” year, helped by vaccines and larger spending.

Still, gold will continue to be supported by the low interest rate environment, analysts said.

“Positive for gold is that central banks are going to be dovish for the long term... It has built a solid support area around $1,830 and there’s a good chance of gold recovering to $1,880 or $1,900,” said ActivTrades chief analyst Carlo Alberto De Casa.

Meanwhile, world shares came off record highs on caution over rising coronavirus cases.

Elsewhere, silver fell 2.9% to $24.62 per ounce, having earlier fallen to a near one-month low of $24.30.

Silver “should continue moving in gold’s slipstream,” Menke added.

Platinum dropped 5.1% to $1,010.15 per ounce, while palladium slipped 1% to $2,346.85.

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