Gold rebounds from 4-day loss; euro zone gloom weighs

11 Oct, 2012

 

But long-term interest in the safe-haven metal remains intact as evident from a rise in holdings of exchange-traded gold funds to a record high of 75.03 million ounces by Oct. 9.

 

"The continuously rising ETF holdings show that investors are still confident in gold in the longer term, even though the euro zone trouble may have some short-term impact," said Chen Min, an analyst at Jinrui Futures in the southern Chinese city of Shenzhen.

 

"The Fed's QE (quantitative easing) and low interest rate policy has put a floor under gold, and we probably won't see a sharp pullback," he said.

 

A Reuters poll of gold analysts echoed Chen's view, showing that gold is expected to reach a record-high average price in the fourth quarter and score further gains next year.

 

Stimulus measures launched by key central banks in September continues to drive investors to gold, a hedge against inflation and currency debasement caused by looser monetary policy.

 

Spot gold inched up 0.1 percent to $1,764.39 an ounce by 0326 GMT. It fell to a two-week low of $1,756.86 an ounce in the previous session.

 

US gold was little changed at $1,766.40.

 

A stronger dollar is, however, expected to keep a lid on gains by making commodities priced in the greenback more expensive for buyers holding other currencies.

 

The dollar index rose to a one-month high, after Standard & Poor's downgraded Spain's credit rating and the IMF chided the European Union for not doing enough to curb the euro zone debt crisis, now in its third year.

 

Technical analysis suggested that a bearish target for spot gold at $1,750 an ounce remains unchanged, said Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.

 

GOLD FLOW TO CHINA

 

Hong Kong's net gold flow to China in August dropped 26 percent from a year ago, as high gold prices and a slowdown in the economic growth weighed on appetite for the metal.

 

Asia's physical gold demand has been lacklustre in recent months.

 

"India's monsoon was below par and gold in rupee is still very expensive, yet we still have $1,760 gold," said a Singapore-based trader.

 

"The reality is that investment demand from Europe and the United States, as well the dollar direction is a much bigger driver for gold now."

 

Spot palladium fell to a one-week low of $643.20.

 

Analysts are less upbeat about platinum's prospects now than they were three months ago as the threat to demand from a slowing global economy overshadows worries about supply disruptions in top producer South Africa.

 

Copyright Reuters, 2012

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