Prices fall on increased Norwegian flows, stronger wind expectations

16 Jul, 2019

* Day-ahead gas price was down by 0.35 pence at 34.25 pence per therm at 0745 GMT.

* The month-ahead contract was down 0.35 pence lower at 34.00 pence per therm.

* Increased flows from Norway and expected higher power generation from wind turbines pressured prices, a gas trader said.

* Demand is forecast at 165.7 million cubic metres (mcm) and supply at 177.8 mcm/day, leaving the system oversupplied by 12.1 mcm, according to National Grid data.

* Total Norwegian flows to Britain are 3 mcm higher than the previous working day at 74 mcm/day. The impact of an unplanned outage at Norway's Aasta Hansteen field has been reduced and flows through Langeled pipeline increased.

* Peak wind generation is forecast low at nearly 1.2 gigawatts (GW), but is expected to rise to 5.5 GW on Wednesday, out of a total metered capacity of around 12 GW, Elexon data shows.

* High wind power output typically reduces demand from gas-to-power plants.

* Britain received one Qatari liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargo on Monday and expects one more on July 20.

* In the Dutch gas market, the day-ahead price at the TTF hub was down by 0.37 euro at 12.48 euros per megawatt hour.

* Benchmark Dec-19 EU carbon contract was up by 0.18 euro at 29.23 euros a tonne.

Copyright Reuters, 2019

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