US MIDDAY: gold surges

15 Jan, 2019

Gold prices rose on Monday as global stocks fell on an unexpected drop in China's exports that signaled further weakening in the world's second-largest economy and prompted investors to seek safety in the precious metal. Spot gold rose 0.4 percent to $1,291.99 per ounce at 2:37 p.m. EST (1937) GMT, while US gold futures settled 0.1 percent higher to $1,291.3.
"The fact that US stocks have opened lower and weak macro numbers from China on the trade figures today has been helpful for gold," INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir said.
Chinese exports fell by their most in two years in December, alongside a significant contraction in imports, data showed on Monday, hitting stock markets and highlighting fears of a sharper slowdown in global growth.
Gold, which is often used as a hedge against economic and political uncertainty, has also been helped by concerns surrounding an impending vote on Britain's exit from the European Union and a prolonged partial government shutdown in the United States.
"If the partial government shutdown continues, it will eventually weigh heavily on equity prices, sending more investors over to the gold and bond markets," Walter Pehowich, executive vice president of investment services at Dillon Gage Metals, said in a note.
Spot gold has gained more than 11 percent since hitting a 1-1/2-year low in mid-August at $1,159.96. Extension of the shutdown and the subsequent US economic slowdown "contributes to the fact that the US Federal Reserve will likely not raise rates at all this year," INTL's Meir said.
Investors are eyeing US-China trade developments, with US officials expecting a visit by Beijing's top trade negotiator this month after mid-level talks ended on a seemingly positive note.
Among other precious metals, palladium rose 0.4 percent to $1,323.00 an ounce, after touching $1,341.70 in the session. The metal was trading just below the all-time high of $1,342.43 reached last week, and about $31 above gold.
"Palladium has continued its march higher but $1,350/oz appears to be a pretty significant technical level," analysts at JP Morgan said in a note.
Platinum shed 1 percent to $802.70 while silver gained 0.3 percent at $15.64.

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