Iran proposes economic stimulus to fend off recession

18 Oct, 2015

Iran's government announced proposals on Saturday to cut interest rates and encourage banks to lend, state television reported, in an effort to boost a stagnant economy after two years of tight monetary policy as inflation slows. Iran's economy has stagnated since it reached a nuclear deal with world powers in July, as consumers wait for sanctions to be lifted and international brands to arrive.
Officials have warned that the economy could experience zero growth or even enter recession this year. The new package envisages a cut in the central bank's interest rate, an increase in bank facilities to stimulate public demand and a lowering of interbank lending rates and the legal reserve requirement, according to a summary shown on state television.
President Hassan Rouhani's government inherited inflation rates of above 40 percent when it came to power in 2013 and immediately set about tightening fiscal and monetary policy to bring it under control. Inflation has since fallen to below 15 percent, giving the government some leeway to loosen policy to help the economy. Economists said the new proposals might not be sufficient to revive an economy hurt by years of international economic sanctions imposed over Tehran's nuclear programme and by reckless state spending under the previous government of president Mahmoud Ahmedinejad.
"The government is trying to use the banking sector to release some sort of credit into the economy, and through that encourage private sector borrowing for projects," said Mehrdad Emadi, an economist at the Betamatrix consultancy in London. "(It) doesn't address the fundamental factors that have depressed the economy.

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