Ukraine's economy remains in a downward spiral and the IMF-EU rescue plan for the country is already outdated and insufficient, an economist said Thursday. "The economy remains at a standstill" due to the fighting in the east and lack of confidence in the government's ability to settle stresses with Moscow, said economist Lubomir Mitov, a Ukraine and Russia expert at the Institute of International Finance.
"What we are looking at now is a very substantial recession, 8-10 percent or more" of gross domestic product, continuing into 2015, he said. "The bigger problem is that foreign official financing seems to be insufficient to meet the country's financial needs."
The International Monetary Fund has already acknowledged that the $27 billion support program for Ukraine from the Fund, the European Union, the World Bank and others is not likely enough to stabilise the country's finances, especially as it continues to fight Moscow-backed secessionists in the east and south.
Mitov said that capital controls have slowed the decline but that people are still pulling money out of banks, amid an atmosphere of "uncertainty related to the future of the country itself."