Palm oil falls to 2-week low on stronger ringgit, rival oil weakness

25 Oct, 2023

SINGAPORE: Malaysian palm oil futures fell for a third consecutive session on Wednesday, weighed down by a stronger ringgit and weakness in rival oils.

The benchmark palm oil contract for January delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange fell 41 ringgit, or 1.1%, to 3,626 ringgit per metric ton at the midday break, recording its lowest level in two weeks.

A quick harvest pace for US soy is likely to boost supplies of the oilseed and its products, including soyoil. Palm oil is affected by price movements in related oils as they compete for a share in the global vegetable oils market.

Farmers had harvested 76% of their soybean crop by Sunday, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) said after trading ended on Monday.

The figures, roughly in line with trade expectations, were ahead of the five-year average pace for each crop.

Palm oil falls 2% on stronger soybean harvest, ringgit

Soyoil prices on the Chicago Board of Trade fell 0.1%, reaching the lowest level in four months.

Despite China’s fiscal stimulus announcement, the outlook for edible oil demand remains challenging due to weak crushing margins and an ample supply of vegetable oil, said Mitesh Saiya, trading manager for Kantilal Laxmichand & Company in Mumbai.

The existing surplus of vegetable oil is impeding a full recovery, and the fiscal stimulus measures have not proven sufficient to significantly bolster the market, Saiya added. Dalian’s most-active soyoil contract fell 0.9%, while its palm oil contract was down 1.1%.

The Malaysian ringgit, palm’s currency of trade, strengthened 0.2% against the dollar.

A stronger ringgit makes palm oil less attractive for foreign currency holders.

Palm oil may bounce to 3,720 ringgit per metric ton, as a wave c from 3,772 ringgit may have completed at the Tuesday low of 3,651 ringgit, said Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

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