US oil may retest support at $88.72

14 Oct, 2022

SINGAPORE: US oil may retest a support at $88.72 per barrel, a break below which could open the way towards $87.20-$87.88 range.

The strong rise on Thursday is tentatively classified as a bounce against the fall from $93.64.

It could also be regarded as a pullback towards a rising trendline.

The bounce seems to have lost its momentum around a resistance at $89.60, which is pivotal in evaluating the next direction.

A break above $89.60 could lead to a gain into $90.55-$91.73 range.

On the daily chart, three black crows formed between Monday and Wednesday, which is a strong bearish reversal pattern, confirming a completion of the bounce triggered by the support at $77.24.

Oil is expected to fall towards $77.24.

US oil may drop into $82.56-$84.68 range

However, the fall was disrupted by the support at $85.59.

A bullish engulfing pattern formed between Wednesday and Thursday, suggesting a further gain on Friday or early next week.

This bullish indication is a bit conflicting with that of the hourly chart.

To compromise these readings, a likely scenario will be a shallow drop before a rise on Friday.

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