US bonds edge higher, focus on debt ceiling

16 Jan, 2013

 

Ten-year notes rose 3/32 in price to yield roughly 1.826 percent. The 10-year yield was down 1 basis point from late US trade, and was within sight of a two-week low near 1.81 percent set on Tuesday.

 

The 10-year yield is likely to move in a 1.8 percent to 2.1 percent range over the next few weeks, said Tomoaki Shishido, rate analyst for Nomura Securities in Tokyo.

 

That range could shift higher around early March, if the US debt ceiling is raised by then and economic indicators show that the US economy is holding up relatively well, he said.

 

"I think there will ultimately be a compromise and that the debt ceiling will be raised in a reasonable manner," Shishido said.

 

Most investors expect the U.S debt ceiling will be raised to avert a default in Treasuries. But a deal could come down to the wire, and there is concern that the resulting uncertainty could pare investors' appetite for equities and other risky assets.

 

The US Treasury cautioned on Monday that the United States was on track to exhaust its options to meet its debt obligations between mid-February and early March.

Copyright Reuters, 2013

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