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BR Research

SSGCs profitability dips

Published March 1, 2012 Updated March 1, 2012 12:00am

 The gas shortage once around the horizon, now stares the economic managers in their faces. And the countrys leading integrated gas company continues to face natural gas shortage due to the widening schism between the supplies from the E&P companies and burgeoning natural gas demand. The ballooning of supply constraints faced by Sui Southern Gas Company (SSGC) has translated into a fall in gas sales volumes by 4.6 percent to 88bcf for 1QFY12 compared to 93bcf in the similar period FY11. Plausibly, 2QFY12 also faced similar plunge as the gas shortage worsened during November and December FY12. One major cause of the decline in the gas sales has been the decline in Badin gas field by more than 40 percent during the period. However, SSGC was able to post sales growth of more than 7 percent during 1HFY12 versus 1HFY11. Although the gross margins have improved during 1HFY12 vis-à-vis 1HFY11, the second quarter FY12 sales have not been able to absorb the cost of purchases and T&D costs fully. Further, SSGC has faced non-recovery of trade debts to the tune of almost Rs.30 billion during the said period, majority of which are from KESC. This has severely dented the operating income. Besides the leakages and measurement errors that constitute UFG, the Company has been facing tremendous pressure in the form of gas thefts and third-party damages. It seems that this third factor has taken its toll on the profitability of the Company. As a consequence, the net margins have dwindled with Companys net income falling by 27 percent during 1HFY12 compared to the similar period of FY11. Short-term borrowing is what the Company has been reverting to every now and then amid the circular debt crisis. This remains the primary reason for the hike in finance costs for the period. Due to the increased weighted average cost of gas and weak liquidity situation, Sui Southern Gas Company Limited is seeking a hike in gas prices of more than Rs.8 per mmbtu for the consumers by FY13. With profits falling, it seems that the earnings of the Company during the rest of FY12 would remain a little trained, especially due to the severity of the ongoing gas crisis in the country. On the brighter side, the Company will possibly increase its share of non-operating income with the new LPG plant at Port Qasim with a total capacity of 6,500MT. Also, recently the Company has integrated Kunar-Pashaki gas field which has introduced 100 mmcfd of gas into the system. It also plans to inject a further 100 mmcfd of synthetic gas into the transmission system in the coming year to trim down the gas shortage.

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Sui Southern Gas Company Limited                                                          Sui Southern Gas Company Limited
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(Rs mn)                  1HFY12    1HFY11   chg  2QFY12   2QFY11   chg   (Rs mn)                 1HFY10   1HFY9    chg  2QFY10   2QFY9   chg
============================================================================================================================================
Net Sales               62,848    58,366     8%  31,935   29,842    7%   Net Sales              53,883  49,401      8%  27,749  25,657    7%
Gross Profit             1,623     1,093    49%     888      910   -2%   Gross Profit              562      31     49%     932     955   -2%
Other Operating Income   1,532      2,010  -24%     770      922  -16%   Other Operating Income  1,532   2,011    -24%   1,074   1,226  -16%
Operating Profit         1,030       871    18%    304       329   -8%   Operating Profit          713     554     18%    305      329   -8%
Finance cost             3,596      2,410   49%   1,794    1,343   34%   Finance cost            3,596    2,411    49%     893     442   34%
Profit for the Period    1,539     2,113   -27%     744      999  -26%   Profit for the Period   2,687    3,260    -27%  1,255   1,511  -26%
EPS (Rs)                   1.75      2.40  -27%    0.84     1.13  -26%   EPS (Rs)                 3.05     3.70   -27%    1.42    1.71  -26%
Gross Margin              2.58%     1.87%         2.78%    3.05%         Gross Margin             3.12%   3.31%  3.49%   3.67%   3.86%
Operating Margin          1.64%     1.49%         0.95%    1.10%         Operating Margin         0.81%   0.65%  0.49%   0.33%   0.17%
Net Margin                2.45%     3.62%         2.33%    3.35%         Net Margin               3.09%   3.14%  3.19%   3.24%   3.29%
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Source: KSE notice Source: KSE notice

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