05292016Sun
Last update: Sun, 29 May 2016 03am

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Talk of turnaround stories and The Bank of Punjab's (BoP) is one really big one. Once a sinking ship, the public sector bank has moved from strength to strength over the years. The BoP announced its audited CY15 financial results last week, recording a stupendous 75 percent year-on-year growth in pre-tax profits.
The unthinkable is about to happen in Saudi Arabia. Thirty-one years old deputy crown prince Mohammed bin Salman has unveiled Kingdom's blueprint for economic diversification over the medium to long term period. The plan, which is known as 'Saudi Vision 2030' focuses on privatisation, lifting subsidies, reducing unemployment, increasing military industrial production domestically, and spinning off some of Aramco's assets among others. The important question is whether Saudi Arabia would be able to execute such a massive reform agenda?
Urea off-take has not picked up. The National Fertilizer Development Centre (NFDC) released fertilizer statistics for April, showing monthly urea off-take was at its lowest since 1998, at just 114 thousand tons. The 1QCY16 urea off-take is also at a five-year low. Farm economics has surely not picked up, as feared.
There was a time when stocks at Pakistan Stock Exchange would tumble on fears of various taxes to be implemented on trading and investment activities. For many years market participants played tug of war with different governments, pushing the indices south a month before the federal budget announcements, until the governments either rolled back or otherwise lowered tax rates a month after the announcements due to the pressure from market participants.
Oil prices might have pushed higher as raging wildfire near Canadas oil sands threatened production, but the uptrend in the commodity price has been noticeable in the ongoing year. Meanwhile, geopolitical tension in Libya has also disrupted around 120,000 barrels of oil per day.
A quick recap for those who missed out on "The cotton crunch (I)" (Published May 4, 2016): Cotton arrivals this year are down by 34 percent due to late sowing, untimely rains, and pests, among other things. A policy decision might be in the offing: whether or not to remove the RD on cotton imports. But this article is about what the industry really needs - research and better quality seeds.
Pakistan is about to start its mango export season, and chances are that this year will bring mixed blessings for the sector. The official mango export season traditionally starts during the third week of May and according to experts, Punjab is expecting above average produce of mango, while the produce in Sindh has suffered quite a lot due to climatic changes and infestations.