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Business & Finance

US April home prices dip

NEW YORK : U.S. single-family home prices dipped modestly in April, pointing to signs of stabilization in the battered
Published June 28, 2011

smediNEW YORK: U.S. single-family home prices dipped modestly in April, pointing to signs of stabilization in the battered housing market at the start of the spring buying season, a closely watched survey said on Tuesday.

ALAN LEVENSON, CHIEF ECONOMIST, T. ROWE PRICE, BALITMORE, MD

"It rose by a tenth of a percent more than had been anticipated, which to me is not that significant. April is a month when house prices often rise.

For those looking for a bottom in house price this is good news. They may latch onto this as an early indication."

"Everybody is more focused on Greece today and the bailout.

I think markets do watch these numbers, and again, the survey I'm looking at had expected a decline month-to-month index, so other things equal it's not that bad."

PETER BOOCKVAR, EQUITY STRATEGIST, MILLER TABAK + CO. NEW YORK

"There still remains no end in sight to the price drops in housing with the only positive being that most of it has already likely occurred over the past few years. In terms of bank balance sheets, comfort in them won't be complete until home prices stop going down."

MIKE FEROLI, ECONOMIST, JP MORGAN, NEW YORK:

"Within the seasonally adjusted number, there is cause for some optimism. Particularly the pace of decline seems to be slowing some, so that is good.

We have to do that before you can actually start increasing. So consistent with some other indicators we have been seeing, it does look like the pace of decline slowing a little bit.

"I would expect prices are flattish in the second half and it may be a while before we see positive growth of any significance.

I would not be surprised to see a month where prices are up but it might take a while to see increases in housing prices that are really notable."

RUDY NARVAS, SENIOR ECONOMIST, SOCIETE GENERALE, NEW YORK:

"It suggests that the housing market is stabilizing. It

suggests that things are bottoming out and it is only a matter of months before you hit the bottom.

Washington seems pretty strong and New York is pretty stable. Things aren't great but at least they are not completely falling apart."

MICHAEL WOOLFOLK, SENIOR CURRENCY STRATEGIST, BNY MELLON, NEW

YORK

"Again, this is not particularly encouraging housing news. It is in line broadly with expectations, as we've not yet seen a bottom put into the housing market.

However, one thing that we would note is that rental prices are on the rise. College graduates and new entrants to the labour force are renting rather than buying due to a lack of access to mortgage financing. That will put upward pressure on core inflation over the next six months and will have to over the course of the next year prompt some construction.

So we anticipate a housing construction bottom in the summer and expect some positive numbers in the not-too-distant future."

DAVID SLOAN, ECONOMIST, IFR ECONOMICS, A UNIT OF THOMSON

REUTERS

"While the seasonally adjusted trend is getting less negative, a 0.8% seasonally adjusted increase in the more volatile FHFA house price index released last week for April looks erratic.

Price data released with May's existing home sales report suggests the improvement towards less negative may extend into the neutral or even marginally positive in May, while the S&P Case-Shiller's 10 city index, unchanged at -3.1% yr/yr, is a little less weak than its 20 city counterpart.

Still, the housing market remains weak, with this data showing nothing more than tentative hints at stabilization. Looking at the individual cities, only Washington DC, with a 4.0pc rise, is positive on a yr/yr basis, with Minneapolis at -11.1pc being the weakest. Washington DC with a 2.0% seasonally adjusted rise also leads the month/month gains."

Copyright Reuters, 2011

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