Due to a small congestion area forming between Feb. 19 and Feb. 22, oil may fail to break $59.08 in its first attempt. A bounce could occur around this level.
This wave could either end around $66.29 or extend a lot to $85.17. Regardless of the ending point of this wave, a consolidation around $66.29 is ongoing.
On the daily chart, oil failed to break a trendline passing through the peaks of the April 25, 2019 high of $75.60 and the Jan. 8, 2020 high of $71.75.
A retracement analysis reveals an immediate support at $58.13, the 38.2% level, a break below which could open the way towards $56.85. A bounce from the current level may be limited to $59.33.
Brent crude was up 35 cents, or 0.5%, at $64.69 a barrel.
US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures gained 48 cents, or 0.8%, to $61.62 a barrel, after earlier rising to $62.26, the highest since Jan. 8, 2020.
A fall from the current level is expected to end above a support at $61.02. A fall below this level could suggest the current wave count is incorrect. A review will be done then.
On the daily chart, the uptrend towards the Jan. 8, 2020 high of $71.75 has resumed. A realistic target could be $67.50, the 486.4% projection level of an uptrend from $39.34.
Immediate resistance is at $63.04, a break above which could lead to a gain to $63.54. Only a further rise could signal the continuation of the uptrend.
The resistance at $63.85 triggered a shallow correction, which seems to have ended around a support at $63.04. The contract is poised to retest $63.85 and rise towards $64.34.