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    <title>Business Recorder - Business &amp; Finance - Money &amp; Banking</title>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2026 14:14:09 +0500</pubDate>
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      <title>Liquidity rules pose risks for Asia Pacific banks</title>
      <link>https://www.brecorder.com/news/7996/liquidity-rules-pose-risks-for-asia-pacific-banks</link>
      <description>&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;img style="margin-bottom: 10px; margin-right: 10px; float: left;" src="https://i.brecorder.com/images/stories/pics2011/basel.404.jpg" width="400" height="419" /&gt;SINGAPORE&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;: New global rules on bank liquidity run the risk of destabilising the banking industry in Asia Pacific's fiscal disciplined economies rather than supporting it.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has drawn up the first ever global set of liquidity rules to try and prevent a repeat of the funding crises that engulfed many Western banks during the financial crisis.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;One of these rules known as the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) requires banks to hold a pool of top quality liquid assets such as cash and top rated government debt that could meet all their net outflows over 30 days at a time of acute stress in the market.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;Banks in &lt;/span&gt;Singapore&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;, &lt;/span&gt;Hong Kong&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt; and &lt;/span&gt;Australia&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;, which have low levels of domestic sovereign debt, say they will find it harder to get their hands on enough of these assets to meet the rules given their relative scarcity.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;Both the &lt;/span&gt;Singapore&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt; and &lt;/span&gt;Hong Kong&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt; governments tend to have budget surpluses so only issue a limited amount of bonds and bills each year. &lt;/span&gt;Australia&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;'s government, while currently running a deficit, was in surplus for most of the 10 years preceding the financial crisis, meaning its public debt pool is also relatively shallow.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;Now banks in these countries are warning that this scarcity of public debt could trigger competition between them for these assets, making the market less, rather than more liquid.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;"The adverse competition dynamics arising from the rules could become a threat to the overall banking industry," said Frederick Shen, Vice President of Market Risk Management at &lt;/span&gt;Singapore&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;'s OCBC Bank Shen warns that banks could try and undercut one another to attract more deposits acceptable under the new rules while rejecting assets that don't make the grade.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;"This will have a negative impact on banks' bottom line, distort market deposit rates and create deposits which are more volatile and sensitive&lt;/span&gt; rate&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;, thus resulting in a self-defeating vicious cycle for the industry," he said.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;The Basel Committee did allow a degree of extra leeway for regulators in countries with a shallow pool of government debt in its release of the Basel III rules at the end of 2010.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;This gives national authorities the ability to set up a central bank liquidity facility to help institutions meet the rules.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;Regulators may also be able to widen the pool of assets classed as "highly liquid" to include top rated sovereign bonds of another country such as &lt;/span&gt;U.S.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;Treasuries and more corporate debt and covered bonds paper issued by banks that are backed by a pool of loans, usually mortgages, that remain on a bank's balance sheet Stefan Walter, the Basel Committee's Secretary General says the rules are designed to improve the way banks' manage their funding rather than forcing the holding of sovereign bonds per se.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;"We're trying to change behaviour, for example the excessive reliance on short-term wholesale funding, as opposed to necessarily inducing the holding of government debt," he told Reuters.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;NOT ENOUGH LIQUIDITY TO GO ROUND&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;However, industry experts warn at present the rules are still too rigid to address the fact that assets considered liquid in the West just aren't as readily available in many countries in &lt;/span&gt;Asia&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt; and &lt;/span&gt;Australia&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;"Liquidity is a big challenge as in many countries like &lt;/span&gt;Asia&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt; there isn't enough of the type specified by the Basel Committee to go round," said Simon Topping, a former director of banking regulation at the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and now a partner at KPMG.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;That's not to say banks in these economies are more likely to face a liquidity crisis than those in the West. Banks in &lt;/span&gt;Singapore&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt; and &lt;/span&gt;Hong Kong&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt; have loan to deposit ratios well below 80 percent compared to many banks in &lt;/span&gt;Europe&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt; who have rates well over 100 percent.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;But the problem is that their liquidity management programmes involve holding a wider range of assets than is allowed under the new rules.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;"What requires further consideration is the form this liquidity must take," said Elbert Pattijn, chief risk officer at &lt;/span&gt;Singapore&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;'s DBS Bank "One of the unintended consequences as we had highlighted to our regulator and the Basel Committee is that many banks in many Asian countries will be forced to take undue FX risk by putting U.S Treasury, Bunds or JGBs into their liquidity portfolio," he added.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;Banks might also have to cut lending in order to keep more cash in their liquidity pool.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;"The new result is an increase in banks' funding cost, which could either translate into higher borrowing costs for customers or reduced lending capacity if banks cannot pass on the additional costs," Shen added.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;AUSTRALIA&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt; SETS STRICT RULES&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;At the end of February, &lt;/span&gt;Australia&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;'s regulator ruled that despite the Basel Committee's concessions, no assets aside from cash, domestic government securities and central bank reserves can be counted for meeting the Basel Committee's classification of "highly liquid."&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;While this may change before the liquidity coverage ratio's 2015 deadline, it means that at present the country's banks fall far short of coming close to meeting the new rules.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;Matthew Johnson, fixed income strategist at UBS in &lt;/span&gt;Sydney&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;, estimates the country's banks hold around $65 billion $66 billion in assets that meet the &lt;/span&gt;Basel&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt; rules as they presently stand.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt; To become fully compliant, they will need to hold around $350 billion, which is greater than the country's public debt market.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;This means the country's top four lenders National Australia Bank, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Westpac Banking Corp and &lt;/span&gt;Australia&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt; and New Zealand Banking Group could be scrapping for all they can get.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;"If Australian banks were to go after the remaining float of the paper, it may impair market liquidity, and therefore undermine the regulator's purpose," said Johnson.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;For now, the alternative for Australian banks will be to tap a liquidity facility provided by the central bank, although that will come with a fee.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;RULES NOT DESIGNED FOR ASIAN BANKS&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;Regulators in &lt;/span&gt;Singapore&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt; and &lt;/span&gt;Hong Kong&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt; are yet to announce how they will implement the new liquidity rules, although both are expected to make announcements later this year.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;The HKMA has said it is discussing with local banks how to meet any liquidity shortfall under the new guidelines.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;The Monetary Authority of Singapore announced in July 2010 that it would begin issuing new short term bills in the second quarter of this year, which will help to boost the stock of liquid assets.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;The Basel Committee has included a review clause in the new rules to address any "unintended consequences" and said it may make further revisions ahead of the 2015 deadline if closer analysis deems it necessary.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;However, it is unlikely that there will be any major changes to the rules for these countries given the Basel Committee's determination to make them a global standard.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;"We're in an environment where everyone's competing against one another on a global basis and it is hard to predict from where the next shock could come from. &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;Thus all countries need to raise minimum standards to protect their banking systems against potential domestic or cross border shocks," the committee's Walter said.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;Even if there are more tweaks to the rules, analysts say the wider problem lay in the fact they are tailored to solve the problems faced by Western banks operating in Western markets.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;"Everything in &lt;/span&gt;Asia&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt; is very different and yet we're adopting all of this regulation which is driven by the problems which happened in sub-prime and CDOs (collateralised debt obligations)," said Daniel.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size: 10pt;"&gt;&lt;Center /&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;i&gt;Copyright Reuters, 2011&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/center&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
</description>
      <content:encoded xmlns="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p class="MsoPlainText"><img style="margin-bottom: 10px; margin-right: 10px; float: left;" src="https://i.brecorder.com/images/stories/pics2011/basel.404.jpg" width="400" height="419" />SINGAPORE<span style="font-size: 10pt;">: New global rules on bank liquidity run the risk of destabilising the banking industry in Asia Pacific's fiscal disciplined economies rather than supporting it.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has drawn up the first ever global set of liquidity rules to try and prevent a repeat of the funding crises that engulfed many Western banks during the financial crisis.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">One of these rules known as the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) requires banks to hold a pool of top quality liquid assets such as cash and top rated government debt that could meet all their net outflows over 30 days at a time of acute stress in the market.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">Banks in </span>Singapore<span style="font-size: 10pt;">, </span>Hong Kong<span style="font-size: 10pt;"> and </span>Australia<span style="font-size: 10pt;">, which have low levels of domestic sovereign debt, say they will find it harder to get their hands on enough of these assets to meet the rules given their relative scarcity.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">Both the </span>Singapore<span style="font-size: 10pt;"> and </span>Hong Kong<span style="font-size: 10pt;"> governments tend to have budget surpluses so only issue a limited amount of bonds and bills each year. </span>Australia<span style="font-size: 10pt;">'s government, while currently running a deficit, was in surplus for most of the 10 years preceding the financial crisis, meaning its public debt pool is also relatively shallow.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">Now banks in these countries are warning that this scarcity of public debt could trigger competition between them for these assets, making the market less, rather than more liquid.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">"The adverse competition dynamics arising from the rules could become a threat to the overall banking industry," said Frederick Shen, Vice President of Market Risk Management at </span>Singapore<span style="font-size: 10pt;">'s OCBC Bank Shen warns that banks could try and undercut one another to attract more deposits acceptable under the new rules while rejecting assets that don't make the grade.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">"This will have a negative impact on banks' bottom line, distort market deposit rates and create deposits which are more volatile and sensitive</span> rate<span style="font-size: 10pt;">, thus resulting in a self-defeating vicious cycle for the industry," he said.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">The Basel Committee did allow a degree of extra leeway for regulators in countries with a shallow pool of government debt in its release of the Basel III rules at the end of 2010.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">This gives national authorities the ability to set up a central bank liquidity facility to help institutions meet the rules.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">Regulators may also be able to widen the pool of assets classed as "highly liquid" to include top rated sovereign bonds of another country such as </span>U.S.</p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">Treasuries and more corporate debt and covered bonds paper issued by banks that are backed by a pool of loans, usually mortgages, that remain on a bank's balance sheet Stefan Walter, the Basel Committee's Secretary General says the rules are designed to improve the way banks' manage their funding rather than forcing the holding of sovereign bonds per se.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">"We're trying to change behaviour, for example the excessive reliance on short-term wholesale funding, as opposed to necessarily inducing the holding of government debt," he told Reuters.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">NOT ENOUGH LIQUIDITY TO GO ROUND</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">However, industry experts warn at present the rules are still too rigid to address the fact that assets considered liquid in the West just aren't as readily available in many countries in </span>Asia<span style="font-size: 10pt;"> and </span>Australia<span style="font-size: 10pt;">.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">"Liquidity is a big challenge as in many countries like </span>Asia<span style="font-size: 10pt;"> there isn't enough of the type specified by the Basel Committee to go round," said Simon Topping, a former director of banking regulation at the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and now a partner at KPMG.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">That's not to say banks in these economies are more likely to face a liquidity crisis than those in the West. Banks in </span>Singapore<span style="font-size: 10pt;"> and </span>Hong Kong<span style="font-size: 10pt;"> have loan to deposit ratios well below 80 percent compared to many banks in </span>Europe<span style="font-size: 10pt;"> who have rates well over 100 percent.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">But the problem is that their liquidity management programmes involve holding a wider range of assets than is allowed under the new rules.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">"What requires further consideration is the form this liquidity must take," said Elbert Pattijn, chief risk officer at </span>Singapore<span style="font-size: 10pt;">'s DBS Bank "One of the unintended consequences as we had highlighted to our regulator and the Basel Committee is that many banks in many Asian countries will be forced to take undue FX risk by putting U.S Treasury, Bunds or JGBs into their liquidity portfolio," he added.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">Banks might also have to cut lending in order to keep more cash in their liquidity pool.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">"The new result is an increase in banks' funding cost, which could either translate into higher borrowing costs for customers or reduced lending capacity if banks cannot pass on the additional costs," Shen added.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText">AUSTRALIA<span style="font-size: 10pt;"> SETS STRICT RULES</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">At the end of February, </span>Australia<span style="font-size: 10pt;">'s regulator ruled that despite the Basel Committee's concessions, no assets aside from cash, domestic government securities and central bank reserves can be counted for meeting the Basel Committee's classification of "highly liquid."</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">While this may change before the liquidity coverage ratio's 2015 deadline, it means that at present the country's banks fall far short of coming close to meeting the new rules.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">Matthew Johnson, fixed income strategist at UBS in </span>Sydney<span style="font-size: 10pt;">, estimates the country's banks hold around $65 billion $66 billion in assets that meet the </span>Basel<span style="font-size: 10pt;"> rules as they presently stand.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"> To become fully compliant, they will need to hold around $350 billion, which is greater than the country's public debt market.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">This means the country's top four lenders National Australia Bank, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Westpac Banking Corp and </span>Australia<span style="font-size: 10pt;"> and New Zealand Banking Group could be scrapping for all they can get.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">"If Australian banks were to go after the remaining float of the paper, it may impair market liquidity, and therefore undermine the regulator's purpose," said Johnson.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">For now, the alternative for Australian banks will be to tap a liquidity facility provided by the central bank, although that will come with a fee.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">RULES NOT DESIGNED FOR ASIAN BANKS</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">Regulators in </span>Singapore<span style="font-size: 10pt;"> and </span>Hong Kong<span style="font-size: 10pt;"> are yet to announce how they will implement the new liquidity rules, although both are expected to make announcements later this year.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">The HKMA has said it is discussing with local banks how to meet any liquidity shortfall under the new guidelines.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">The Monetary Authority of Singapore announced in July 2010 that it would begin issuing new short term bills in the second quarter of this year, which will help to boost the stock of liquid assets.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">The Basel Committee has included a review clause in the new rules to address any "unintended consequences" and said it may make further revisions ahead of the 2015 deadline if closer analysis deems it necessary.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">However, it is unlikely that there will be any major changes to the rules for these countries given the Basel Committee's determination to make them a global standard.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">"We're in an environment where everyone's competing against one another on a global basis and it is hard to predict from where the next shock could come from. </span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">Thus all countries need to raise minimum standards to protect their banking systems against potential domestic or cross border shocks," the committee's Walter said.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">Even if there are more tweaks to the rules, analysts say the wider problem lay in the fact they are tailored to solve the problems faced by Western banks operating in Western markets.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">"Everything in </span>Asia<span style="font-size: 10pt;"> is very different and yet we're adopting all of this regulation which is driven by the problems which happened in sub-prime and CDOs (collateralised debt obligations)," said Daniel.</span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><Center /><b><i>Copyright Reuters, 2011</b></i><br /></center></span></p>
]]></content:encoded>
      <category>Business &amp; Finance</category>
      <guid>https://www.brecorder.com/news/7996</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 21 Mar 2011 13:03:27 +0500</pubDate>
      <author>none@none.com (Muhammad Iqbal)</author>
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