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    <pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2026 17:11:46 +0500</pubDate>
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      <title>Greece to bottom out in 2nd half 2011: IMF</title>
      <link>https://www.brecorder.com/news/7333/greece-to-bottom-out-in-2nd-half-2011-imf</link>
      <description>&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;img style="margin-right: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; float: left;" src="https://i.brecorder.com/images/stories/pics2011/mar/IMF-400.jpg" width="400" height="270" /&gt;WASHINGTON: The ravaged Greek economy will likely hit a nadir in the second half of this year and then start regaining strength, the International Monetary Fund said on Wednesday in a report on its bailout program.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;Given the depth of the collapse of the economy and government finances, it could take more time than other debt-ravaged European economies to recover, the IMF said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;It also said near-term risks are significant, from contagion from other suffering economies, the likely rise in euro interest rates, and continued problems in bank liabilities.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;The country continues to contract and a GDP shrinkage of three percent is likely this year, after shrinking about 4.5 percent in 2010, as the government tightens up to reduce its fiscal deficit under the program.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;"The economy is expected to bottom out in the second half of 2011," the IMF said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;"Domestic demand is trending weaker than anticipated, reflecting the deteriorating labour market and tight credit conditions.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;"However, improved prospects for external demand, due to faster recovery in Greece's main trading partners, improving competitiveness, and a rebound in tourism from the low 2010 base, should offer some offset."&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;The IMF said the country has made some gains, getting inflation down to less than the eurozone average, and stabilizing the banking system with support from the European Central bank.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;But significant risks remain, it said, especially in the banking sector.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;Public debt "remains sustainable, although large risks remain, including from growing contingent banking sector liabilities," it said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;Nonperforming loans in the banking system shot up 30 percent during the first nine months of 2010, and reached 10 percent of total loans, the IMF said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;Meanwhile bank provisions for bad loans were mostly unchanged.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;Overall, the IMF said, "Greece is expected to take more time to recover from recession, reflecting the fact that it entered the downturn with about a one-year lag, and has experienced a crisis of greater scale."&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;On Monday the IMF said it was releasing $5.7 billion dollars to Athens in a new installment of its rescue program, underscoring the Greek government's progress in meeting tough adjustments prescribed for the program.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;"Greece's economic program has made further progress toward its key objectives of putting the economy on a path of sustainable growth by boosting competitiveness, strengthening financial sector stability, and securing sustainable public finances," the IMF said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;center&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;i&gt;Copyright AFP (Agence France-Presse), 2011&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/b&gt;&lt;i&gt;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/center&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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      <content:encoded xmlns="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p class="MsoPlainText"><img style="margin-right: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; float: left;" src="https://i.brecorder.com/images/stories/pics2011/mar/IMF-400.jpg" width="400" height="270" />WASHINGTON: The ravaged Greek economy will likely hit a nadir in the second half of this year and then start regaining strength, the International Monetary Fund said on Wednesday in a report on its bailout program.</p>
<p class="MsoPlainText">Given the depth of the collapse of the economy and government finances, it could take more time than other debt-ravaged European economies to recover, the IMF said.</p>
<p class="MsoPlainText">It also said near-term risks are significant, from contagion from other suffering economies, the likely rise in euro interest rates, and continued problems in bank liabilities.</p>
<p class="MsoPlainText">The country continues to contract and a GDP shrinkage of three percent is likely this year, after shrinking about 4.5 percent in 2010, as the government tightens up to reduce its fiscal deficit under the program.</p>
<p class="MsoPlainText">"The economy is expected to bottom out in the second half of 2011," the IMF said.</p>
<p class="MsoPlainText">"Domestic demand is trending weaker than anticipated, reflecting the deteriorating labour market and tight credit conditions.</p>
<p class="MsoPlainText">"However, improved prospects for external demand, due to faster recovery in Greece's main trading partners, improving competitiveness, and a rebound in tourism from the low 2010 base, should offer some offset."</p>
<p class="MsoPlainText">The IMF said the country has made some gains, getting inflation down to less than the eurozone average, and stabilizing the banking system with support from the European Central bank.</p>
<p class="MsoPlainText">But significant risks remain, it said, especially in the banking sector.</p>
<p class="MsoPlainText">Public debt "remains sustainable, although large risks remain, including from growing contingent banking sector liabilities," it said.</p>
<p class="MsoPlainText">Nonperforming loans in the banking system shot up 30 percent during the first nine months of 2010, and reached 10 percent of total loans, the IMF said.</p>
<p class="MsoPlainText">Meanwhile bank provisions for bad loans were mostly unchanged.</p>
<p class="MsoPlainText">Overall, the IMF said, "Greece is expected to take more time to recover from recession, reflecting the fact that it entered the downturn with about a one-year lag, and has experienced a crisis of greater scale."</p>
<p class="MsoPlainText">On Monday the IMF said it was releasing $5.7 billion dollars to Athens in a new installment of its rescue program, underscoring the Greek government's progress in meeting tough adjustments prescribed for the program.</p>
<p class="MsoPlainText">"Greece's economic program has made further progress toward its key objectives of putting the economy on a path of sustainable growth by boosting competitiveness, strengthening financial sector stability, and securing sustainable public finances," the IMF said.</p>
<p><center><b><i>Copyright AFP (Agence France-Presse), 2011</i></b><i></i></center></p>
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      <pubDate>Wed, 16 Mar 2011 21:47:50 +0500</pubDate>
      <author>none@none.com (Syed Murtaza Gheblehzadeh)</author>
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