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Markets

Equities slip as Treasury yields hit three-year highs

NEW YORK: Global equity markets slipped on Monday and U.S. Treasury yields surged to more than three-year highs afte
Published January 29, 2018 Updated January 29, 2018 09:02pm

NEW YORK: Global equity markets slipped on Monday and U.S. Treasury yields surged to more than three-year highs after remarks by a European Central Bank official added to expectations that central banks globally will reduce stimulus as the economic outlook improves.

In the U.S., the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 100 points, weighed down by a slide in Apple shares after the Japanese newspaper Nikkei reported that the company will halve the production target for its flagship iPhone X this quarter.

The report added to growing concerns about weak sales of the $999 phone ahead of Apple's quarterly results slated for release on Thursday.

The technology sector's 0.5 percent drop weighed the most on U.S. markets, but the biggest decliners were the defensive sectors, utilities, real estate and telecommunications, all down more than 0.8 percent as U.S. 10-year Treasury yields hit their highest since 2014.

A break of technical support levels added to bearish sentiment as 10-year yields rose above a trendline that has marked a more than 30-year bull run dating back to the 1980s.

"Key levels were taken out, the trend is broken," said Tom di Galoma, a managing director at Seaport Global Holdings in New York. "It's probably a realization that the global economy is moving ahead and has quite a bit of steam."

In Europe, the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index closed down 0.20 percent at 1,570.85 and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe shed 0.44 percent.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 87.09 points, or 0.33 percent, to 26,529.62. The S&P 500 lost 8.43 points, or 0.29 percent, to 2,864.44 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 15.14 points, or 0.2 percent, to 7,490.63.

Five-year German bond yields turned positive for the first time since late 2015 and yields across the euro area hit fresh highs after Dutch central bank chief Klaas Knot said the ECB should make clear it would end its bond purchases this year.

Knot said on Sunday the ECB should end its asset purchases after the current bond-buying program ends in September, adding: "There is no reason whatsoever to continue the program."

Germany's 10-year bond yield rose to its highest in more than two-years at 0.625 percent.

The rise in government bond rates could stall the equity market rally and lead the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee to raise interest rates faster than expected this year, said Mike Terwilliger, portfolio manager of Resource Liquid Alternatives for the Resource Credit Income Fund.

"If Treasuries cross the psychologically significant 3.0 percent threshold in the coming weeks, I would expect the broader equity markets to begin considering the risk of an acceleration in the pace of FOMC hikes," Terwilliger said.

Reuters data point to market expectations of about three  more Fed rate hikes this year, starting in March, although some analysts, including at Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan Asset Management, expect the Fed to raise four times.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell 12/32 in price to yield 2.7048 percent, up from 2.662 percent late on Friday.

The dollar rose against a basket of currencies as bond yields climbed. The dollar index rose 0.4 percent, with the euro down 0.4 percent to $1.2369. The Japanese yen  eased 0.34 percent versus the greenback at 109.08.

Oil prices slipped 1.5 percent, pressured by a strengthening dollar and rising U.S. crude output, but prices remained on track for the biggest January increase in five years.

Brent crude futures were down $1.15 at $69.37 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were 64 cents lower at $65.50 a barrel.

Copyright Reuters, 2018

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