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    <title>Business Recorder - World - Asia</title>
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    <description>Business Recorder</description>
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    <pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 20:06:07 +0500</pubDate>
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    <ttl>60</ttl>
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      <title>Chinese property 'bubble' fuels hard landing fears</title>
      <link>https://www.brecorder.com/news/1468/chinese-property-bubble-fuels-hard-landing-fears</link>
      <description>&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;&lt;img width="400" src="https://i.brecorder.com/images/stories/chinese-pro_400.jpg" height="269" style="float: left; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-right: 10px;" /&gt;DAVOS: The world business elite raised concerns over &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;China&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;'s property prices at its annual get-together in Davos, with some worrying that if the bubble bursts it could hurt growth.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;"Can &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;China&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt; deflate its real estate bubble without generating a hard landing in its economy? It's a serious problem. The Chinese themselves are quite worried about it," said Nariman Behravesh, an analyst at IHS Global Insight.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;"If you look at the ratio of home values relative to GDP, &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;China&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt; is about the same level as &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;Japan&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;'s before &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;Japan&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;'s bubble burst," he warned.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;Fuel by rapid economic growth and urbanisation, &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;China&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;'s property prices last year defied cooling measures, climbing four straight months to December.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;The &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;Chinese&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;Academy&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt; of Social Sciences, a government think-tank, warned in December that of 35 major cities surveyed, property prices in eleven, including &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;Beijing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt; and &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;Shanghai&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;, were overvalued by between 30 and 50 percent.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;On Friday, authorities launched a property tax on two of the country's biggest cities -- &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;Shanghai&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt; and &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;Chongqing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;. Those who buy high-end second homes in those cities must now pay a 0.4 to 1.2 percent annual tax.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;&lt;span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"&gt;Earlier in the week, the government hiked the minimum down-payment for second homes to 60 percent from 50 percent.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;&lt;span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"&gt;Down-payments for first homes have to reach at least 30 percent, and banks have been ordered not to provide loans for third or later homes.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;Zhang Xin, who founded &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;Beijing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;'s biggest property group Soho China Limited, said housing "has somehow become a very political issue" in the Asian giant.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;"This industry somehow manifests the two most important social elements in &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;China&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;. One is the income disparity between the rich and the poor, the other is corruption," she told a panel at the World Economic Forum.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;&lt;span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"&gt;"When somebody has money and they go to buy expensive houses, then asset prices go up. This is a sword in the eyes of the less well-to-do people, so it has created a public outcry," she said.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;&lt;span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"&gt;Government corruption has also been linked to property development, and stories abound of peasants forced off their land by crooked developers.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;&lt;span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"&gt;"The government is likely to continue the austerity measures, but the question is if these are effective," Zhang said.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoPlainText"&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;&lt;span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"&gt;&lt;span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"&gt;"In my own view the market economy has grown to the stage that it's very strong and sizeable, that is much stronger than government thinks, and that's why these measures have not been the most effective and I think next year will be the next year to watch," she said.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class="MsoNormal"&gt;&lt;span lang="EN-GB"&gt;&lt;span face="Courier New" size="2" style="font-size: x-small; font-family: Courier New;"&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;center&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;i&gt;Copyright AFP (Agence France-Presse), 2011&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/center&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
</description>
      <content:encoded xmlns="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p class="MsoPlainText"><span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"><span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"><span lang="EN-GB"><img width="400" src="https://i.brecorder.com/images/stories/chinese-pro_400.jpg" height="269" style="float: left; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-right: 10px;" />DAVOS: The world business elite raised concerns over </span><span lang="EN-GB">China</span><span lang="EN-GB">'s property prices at its annual get-together in Davos, with some worrying that if the bubble bursts it could hurt growth.</span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"><span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"><span lang="EN-GB">"Can </span><span lang="EN-GB">China</span><span lang="EN-GB"> deflate its real estate bubble without generating a hard landing in its economy? It's a serious problem. The Chinese themselves are quite worried about it," said Nariman Behravesh, an analyst at IHS Global Insight.</span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"><span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"><span lang="EN-GB">"If you look at the ratio of home values relative to GDP, </span><span lang="EN-GB">China</span><span lang="EN-GB"> is about the same level as </span><span lang="EN-GB">Japan</span><span lang="EN-GB">'s before </span><span lang="EN-GB">Japan</span><span lang="EN-GB">'s bubble burst," he warned.</span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"><span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"><span lang="EN-GB">Fuel by rapid economic growth and urbanisation, </span><span lang="EN-GB">China</span><span lang="EN-GB">'s property prices last year defied cooling measures, climbing four straight months to December.</span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"><span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"><span lang="EN-GB">The </span><span lang="EN-GB">Chinese</span><span lang="EN-GB"> </span><span lang="EN-GB">Academy</span><span lang="EN-GB"> of Social Sciences, a government think-tank, warned in December that of 35 major cities surveyed, property prices in eleven, including </span><span lang="EN-GB">Beijing</span><span lang="EN-GB"> and </span><span lang="EN-GB">Shanghai</span><span lang="EN-GB">, were overvalued by between 30 and 50 percent.</span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"><span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"><span lang="EN-GB">On Friday, authorities launched a property tax on two of the country's biggest cities -- </span><span lang="EN-GB">Shanghai</span><span lang="EN-GB"> and </span><span lang="EN-GB">Chongqing</span><span lang="EN-GB">. Those who buy high-end second homes in those cities must now pay a 0.4 to 1.2 percent annual tax.</span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span lang="EN-GB"><span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"><span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;">Earlier in the week, the government hiked the minimum down-payment for second homes to 60 percent from 50 percent.</span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span lang="EN-GB"><span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"><span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;">Down-payments for first homes have to reach at least 30 percent, and banks have been ordered not to provide loans for third or later homes.</span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"><span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"><span lang="EN-GB">Zhang Xin, who founded </span><span lang="EN-GB">Beijing</span><span lang="EN-GB">'s biggest property group Soho China Limited, said housing "has somehow become a very political issue" in the Asian giant.</span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"><span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;"><span lang="EN-GB">"This industry somehow manifests the two most important social elements in </span><span lang="EN-GB">China</span><span lang="EN-GB">. One is the income disparity between the rich and the poor, the other is corruption," she told a panel at the World Economic Forum.</span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span lang="EN-GB"><span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"><span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;">"When somebody has money and they go to buy expensive houses, then asset prices go up. This is a sword in the eyes of the less well-to-do people, so it has created a public outcry," she said.</span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span lang="EN-GB"><span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"><span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;">Government corruption has also been linked to property development, and stories abound of peasants forced off their land by crooked developers.</span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span lang="EN-GB"><span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"><span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;">"The government is likely to continue the austerity measures, but the question is if these are effective," Zhang said.</span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoPlainText"><span lang="EN-GB"><span size="2" style="font-size: x-small;"><span face="Courier New" style="font-family: Courier New;">"In my own view the market economy has grown to the stage that it's very strong and sizeable, that is much stronger than government thinks, and that's why these measures have not been the most effective and I think next year will be the next year to watch," she said.</span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-GB"><span face="Courier New" size="2" style="font-size: x-small; font-family: Courier New;"> </span></span></p>
<p><center><b><i>Copyright AFP (Agence France-Presse), 2011</i></b></center></p>
]]></content:encoded>
      <category>World</category>
      <guid>https://www.brecorder.com/news/1468</guid>
      <pubDate>Sun, 30 Jan 2011 06:58:16 +0500</pubDate>
      <author>none@none.com (Muhammad Iqbal)</author>
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