ISLAMABAD: The likely replacement of Eduardo Campos, the Brazilian presidential candidate killed in a plane crash last week, could force a run-off vote with incumbent Dilma Rousseff, a poll has shown.
The results of the poll, released on Monday, showed that Marina Silva of the Brazilian Socialist Party, known as the PSB, would come second in the first round and tie with Rousseff in the run-off, Anadolu News Agency Reported.
The Datafolha poll was the first since Campos' death. It showed Rousseff would take 36 percent of votes in the first round on October 5, with Silva on 21 percent and Aecio Neves on 20 percent, meaning a second vote on October 26 between Rousseff and Silva.
The second round would then be technically tied, given a two point margin of error, with 47 percent for Silva and 43 percent for Rousseff.
A runoff against Neves would see Rousseff win with 47 percent to Neves's 39 percent.Silva was Campos's running mate and is set to be announced as presidential candidate on Wednesday.
The additional votes for Silva are due to lower results for other parties; fewer undecided voters; and less people planning to spoil their ballot or not voting.
Chief Americas Analyst at the red24 crisis management company Nick Piper urged caution. He said: "Polls too far away from the actual vote are only indicative of what will happen. Early polling becomes even harder to draw conclusions from in the event of unexpected events.
"Silva hasn't won significant support from those who previously showed an intention to vote for Rousseff or Neves: their supporters are less likely to be swayed by an event such as a candidate dying than those who were sitting on the fence."
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