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“Tis but thy name, that is my enemy,” said Juliet Capulet, upon learning that the love of her life came from mortal enemies of her own clan. Continuing to address the object of her desire, “What’s in a name? That which we call a rose, by any other name would smell as sweet.” It is not often that a situation in contemporary times resembles this famous scene from the 16th century play as closely as the relationship between the IMF and Pakistan’s economic managers. Simply replace the “star cross’d” lovers with Pakistan’s soft-spoken, hard-hitting finance minister and the IMF’s head honcho on the stand-by arrangement, and Sheikh appears to be wooing the Fund with a similar reasoning. After all, an indirect tax collected at every stage based on the differential between input and output values will generate the same amount of revenues for the government, regardless of whether it is called value-added tax, ...

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  By virtue of agriculture being a provincial subject, each province has in place a presumptive regime for the collection of income taxes from this sector. Going by the dictionary of Provincial laws, agricultural income consists of rents received from property used for agricultural purposes and income derived from cultivation or from owner-occupied buildings on the property. However, the quantum of revenue generated through these taxes has so far been paltry. Official data show that in FY06, total revenue collected under this head by Punjab made up only 2.1 percent of the total revenue generated by the provincial government and the contribution of agricultural income tax in other provinces is equally dismal. Lack of oversight and unjustifiable exemptions are among the biggest reasons behind the insignificant contributions to revenue from the agriculture sector, despite its significant contribution to the economy. According to the Agriculture Census 2000, 85 percent of the total cultivable land in ...
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  The Asian Development Bank has reinforced what many economists in the country already feared: an impending economic fiasco, with fiscal problems leading the way. The report, titled “Asian Development Outlook 2011”, recalled the fiscal faux pas committed by the country’s government, with the fiscal deficit widening from 5.3 percent of GDP in FY09 to 6.3 percent in FY10. The decline in tax revenues is largely to be blamed for the deterioration of the fiscal position, with the tax-to-GDP ratio hitting a 30-year low of 9 percent in FY10. The expenditure side also played its part, with rigid budgetary outlays (interest, security, pension payments) taking up 82 percent of FBR’s tax receipts. The overrun had to be covered via a drop in public sector development programme (PSDP), while loss-making SOEs continued to wreak further havoc. Another key area warranting particular attention is the debt quandary of Pakistan. While the government’s domestic debt stood at a ...
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  The macro headlines have been turning positive: inflation is down and is expected to remain below 14 percent for the next two months; the external account is doing unexpectedly well; and more importantly, the government is keeping its promises made to the SBP. Two months back, Kardar was optimistic that the Ministry of Finance will abstain from inflationary borrowing from the central bank while the government will implement some austerity measures. Today, (as of March 12 to be precise) the government borrowing from the SBP is at Rs110 billion -- below the assured levels of September-end. The Finance Minister, after a long deliberation with IMF’s team, has also been able to convince President Zardari to take some revenue enhancement as well as expenditure curtailment measures for the rest of the fiscal year. The presidential ordinance came despite tough political opposition -- both from within the party and from the coalition partners. The current ...
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  Formulators of the national budget appear caught between a rock and a hard place as they scramble to produce a budget that not only curbs the widening gulf between government revenues and expenditures; but also face the unenviable task of improving documentation of the economy, and consequently, the tax net. Fears that the government will resort to increasing the burden of taxes on those already paying taxes appear well-founded based on the government’s inability to break the tax impasse in recent times. The annual budget for FY10 failed to add any significant number of tax payers to the ledgers of the Federal Board of Revenue as policymakers cut corners in favour of taxing the already taxed. The ‘FY12 Tax Proposal’ report published by the Overseas Investors Chamber of Commerce and Industry (OICCI) voices the same apprehensions of stakeholders, explicitly calling on the government to expand its resource pool instead of continuing the ...
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  If there is one thing the present government is consistent in, it’s inconsistency. For the nth time, in its three years of rule, the government has taken back one of its earlier decisions – this time choosing to give the sales tax amnesty to the export-oriented sectors. While moves likes these show that democracy is working with people having a say in policy-formation due to freedom of expression, freedom of association, and a free media, taking back decisions which shouldn’t have been taken in the first place makes a mockery of its governance. The case of textiles, in particular, is one that needs a bit more enumeration, being the biggest dollar earning sector. In this paper’s recently released publication, Industry Review 2010, all textile leaders interviewed said they were in favour of the sales tax under VAT mode. Yet almost everybody opposed it. Why? Well, that’s because there are structural issues in the taxation ...
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  The Treasury Bill auctions in the third quarter of the current fiscal year concluded with some positive trends, suggesting the strengthening of macroeconomic indictors. With fundamental factors pointing to a stable interest rate in the upcoming monetary policy, there has been an apparent shift in the market participation pattern during the treasury bill auctions held in 3QFY11. Aided by a decline in price risk, the 6-month and 12-month papers have surprised the market by drawing investors away from the 3-month counter during the quarter ending March. Hence, participation in the 3-month paper tailed off to 21 percent (of the total participation level) in the last auction from around 87 percent in the first auction of the quarter. At the same time, participation in the 6-month paper surged to 43 percent from around 8 percent at the start of the quarter. In addition to reduction in inflationary pressures, the better tone of the market is ...

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