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Pakistan Macroeconomics


Bombed economy After a short-lived cease fire, the terrorists, the suicide bombings and the drone attacks are back in business.  The dilemma is growing stronger with every passing day as the one Pakistan fights for and the one it fights with; both are continuing with their rampage – badly hurting the country’s image, identity, sovereignty and economy. The Social Policy and Development Centre (SPDC) recently published a report on Social Development in Pakistan citing the security related problem as the single biggest hurdle for Pakistan towards achieving economic prosperity. The report states that the security breakdown creates a vicious circle that triggers economic crisis as well as political instability and governance failure. The griping security crisis in Pakistan results in higher transaction costs, diversion of resources from productive uses and loss of life, property and investment to trigger an economic collapse. This in turn reduces the efficacy of economic management, which brings in poor ...

Investors turning over a new leaf Amid limited investment avenues for commercial banks and lucrative rates being offered by government papers, a high level of market participation in treasury auctions is inevitable. However, what’s new in recent treasury auctions is that the market demand for the 6-month paper has been mending. With market participation crossing Rs300 billion, the government sold around Rs174 billion worth of T-bills in the fifth T- bill auction of the quarter, held two days back, in keeping with ...

We don’t need ‘no-education’ Pakistani policymakers are renowned for slipping some significant policy issues under the carpet. Be it the implementation of RGST, issues of sick SOEs, or more pressing development issues such as education. The Pakistan Education Task Force (PEFT) draws attention to the dearth of quality education in its aesthetically appealing report titled ‘Education Emergency Pakistan’. Highlighting the pitiable state of affairs in the education arena (7 million children deprived of primary education in the country, a less-than-adequate percentage ...

Farming tax It’s nice to see somebody from the government finally speaking up on the failure in taxing farm income so far. Media reports suggest that the federal government, led by finance minister Hafeez Shaikh, has been urging the provinces to tax agricultural income, real estate, and wealth, in order to ensure their respective fiscal balance. The move comes months after the RGST has met a stalemate, amid rising concerns over Pakistan’s failure to tax its elite, a bulk ...

Inflation down with errors It’s just not the high base effect. The volatility in the food items, especially perishable, and some apparent change in recording practices are doing the trick. Headline inflation registered an increase of 12.91 percent for February, well over a percentage point below the market expectations. The lack of market mechanism is visible in high volatility in prices of daily use food items like tomatoes and onions is making analysts work troublesome – perishable food index declined ...

Employed illiteracy Providing employment to the youth may not be the best-selling mantra for the politicians, come the next elections, as there is hardly any room for more employment in Pakistan. The country is brimming with 94.4 percent employment rate. Yes – you heard it right – only 3 million people amongst the labour force in Pakistan are unemployed. At least, that is what the recently released Labour Force Survey 2009-10 shows, putting Pakistan well ahead of the ...

The finmin’s daydreams The ministry of finance seems to be playing a merry go-round with the IMF, as another round of negotiation resulted in zero concrete conclusions. Till a few weeks back, there were voices within the MoF that fiscal deficit would be as high as 8-8.5 percent. But that could have well been a tactical move by the politically motivated finance minister to pressurise high ups in the party as well as leadership in the opposition and coalition ...


Index Closing Chg%
Arrow DJIA 17,798.49 0.08
Arrow Nasdaq 5,127.52 0.22
Arrow S&P 2,090.11 0.06
Arrow FTSE 6,375.15 0.28
Arrow DAX 11,293.76 0.24
Arrow CAC-40 4,930.14 0.32
Arrow Nikkei 19,883.94 0.30
Arrow H.Seng 22,068.32 1.87
Arrow Sensex 26,128.20 0.65

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Foreign Debt $62.649bn
Per Cap Income $1,512
GDP Growth 4.24%
Average CPI 8.6%
Trade Balance $-2.197 bln
Exports $1.729 bln
Imports $3.926 bln
WeeklyNovember 23, 2015
Reserves $19.713 bln