The cyclical upward movement in food inflation and the partial passing of the international oil price hike and its impact on other items pushed the consumer price index higher by 1.48 percent month-on-month during March. The CPI index had fallen 0.74 percent month-on-month in February.
The high-base effect is playing its role as year-on-year inflation increased by 13.16 percent -- lower than the average of 14.59 percent for the first half of the fiscal year – taking the nine-month price hike to 14.2 percent. The high-base would also make April numbers modest despite the hike in fuel prices and its trickle down impact.
The latest numbers are a little less than analysts’ forecast and the catch is in the change in the recording practice of petroleum prices. Previously, the FBS used to take the impact of change in petroleum prices in the preceding month i.e. fuel price revision for November used to ...
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