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Markets

Bond yields rise as N.Korea delays; bets on US hike firm

LONDON: Euro zone government bond yields rose with other global benchmarks on Tuesday as North Korean tensions eased
Published August 15, 2017

LONDON: Euro zone government bond yields rose with other global benchmarks on Tuesday as North Korean tensions eased and expectations for a US rate hike later this year rebounded.

North Korea's state media said its leader had delayed a decision on firing missiles towards the US Pacific territory of Guam while he watches US actions a little longer.

This calmed investor nerves after a sharp escalation in rhetoric last week firmed demand for government bonds, often seen as a safe store for cash during crises.

Yields, which move inversely to prices, rose as those safety bets unwound. Comments from one of the US Federal Reserve's most influential members that he expects to raise interest rates once more this year accelerated the move.

"There is a more relaxed attitude being taken towards the Korean situation in markets. With the report North Korea has put its plans on hold, there is a sense of stepping back from the brink," Rabobank analyst Lyn Graham-Taylor said.

"The market has also been generally scaling back expectations of a Fed hike recently, so a more hawkish tone on Monday added to the mix."

Europe's benchmark German 10-year bond yield traded up 2 basis points to 0.42 percent on Tuesday, adding to Monday's 3 bps rise and moving further off Friday's six-week low of 0.38 percent.

That followed a similar move in US equivalents, while British bond yields rose as government ministers set out plans to try to smooth its divorce from the European Union.

Across the euro area, yields were flat to slightly higher on the day as prices on other so-called safe haven assets declined.

Economic data from the United States was on investors' radars after New York Fed President William Dudley, a close ally of Fed Chair Janet Yellen, told the Associated Press he saw another rate hike and balance sheet reductions in 2017.

Rates futures implied traders saw a 42 percent chance of a rate hike at the Fed's December meeting,, up from 36 percent late Friday, CME Group's FedWatch tool showed.

Those expectations could be bolstered further by retail sales data due on Tuesday.

Economists polled by Reuters expect a 0.4 percent month-on-month gain in July, a marked improvement on June's 0.2 percent slump - the biggest monthly decline for almost a year.

Copyright Reuters, 2017

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